Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x924bc8071a68295bc16c28a987932d96fcb04ca8c79fe072b8efc820cbd281ba

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Netherlandsof Morocco, Netherlands
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $330,182
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $323,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,182 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Morocco	8c	34,258$2,831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,831.22	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Morocco	10c	25,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.99	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Morocco	11c	20,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Morocco	10c	20,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Morocco	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Morocco	4c	10,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Morocco	5c	7,975$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.46	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Morocco	11c	6,362$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.82	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Morocco	8c	4,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	+6.4wins	+0.09per pick	30cpaid	+20%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Morocco	10c	4,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Morocco	10c	3,432$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.22	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Morocco	11c	3,176$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.31	783	17.4%136 W · 647 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Morocco	10c	3,150$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Morocco	10c	2,994$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.4	191	25.1%48 W · 143 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+79.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Morocco	10c	2,200$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Morocco	10c	1,520$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.4	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Morocco	7c	1,489$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.26	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Morocco	9c	1,184$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.56	431	39%168 W · 263 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Morocco	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb2b…1e44backed Morocco	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e01…02ddbacked Morocco	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b98…5beabacked Morocco	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	19.1%9 W · 38 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Morocco	8c	778.17$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.61	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Morocco	14c	713.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	212	51.9%110 W · 102 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Morocco	6c	619$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.48	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Morocco	10c	584.85$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	306	7.8%24 W · 282 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Morocco	11c	545.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	154	18.8%29 W · 125 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Morocco	10c	537.32$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.76	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc889…4903backed Morocco	11c	524.06$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	101	43.6%44 W · 57 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49e1…a8bdbacked Morocco	10c	487.45$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	125	17.6%22 W · 103 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Morocco	10c	477.99$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.8	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Morocco	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	109	18.3%20 W · 89 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8026…4005backed Morocco	7c	424.24$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	98	19.4%19 W · 79 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ad…365abacked Morocco	11c	353.64$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.9	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Netherlands	55c	349$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.05	130	59.2%77 W · 53 L	+31.0wins	+0.24per pick	35cpaid	+118.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0xc282…0c5fbacked Morocco	10c	340$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-64%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5625…bf3fbacked Morocco	3c	339.12$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.53	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Morocco	11c	327$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.97	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Morocco	8c	311$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.88	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Morocco	8c	301.03$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.03	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Morocco	9c	289.11$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.41	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Morocco	4c	269.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.48	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Morocco	15c	255.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.68	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Morocco	4c	250.55$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.12	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Morocco	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	322	54%174 W · 148 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Morocco	7c	226.14$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.88	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Morocco	10c	222$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed85…be20backed Morocco	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	88	33%29 W · 59 L	+10.7wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x5408…590fbacked Morocco	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Morocco	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Morocco	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Morocco	7c	193.28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.49	719	39.1%281 W · 438 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc796…6cafbacked Morocco	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacd7…a9d0backed Morocco	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	116	56.9%66 W · 50 L	+8.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fd7…b157backed Morocco	9c	166.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	120	30.8%37 W · 83 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Morocco	38c	150$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Morocco	41c	150$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.83	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Morocco	41c	150$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.9	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3416…0c7cbacked Morocco	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44e6…24f3backed Morocco	11c	127.27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	158	45.6%72 W · 86 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked Morocco	10c	110$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	267	20.6%55 W · 212 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Morocco	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	99	19.2%19 W · 80 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad1…35d0backed Morocco	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-55%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Morocco	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	172	27.3%47 W · 125 L	-9.1wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Morocco	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	365	34.2%125 W · 240 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97be…56e4backed Morocco	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-3.5wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-32%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Morocco	22c	92.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.45	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2bd…0e7fbacked Netherlands	78c	38.46$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.46	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Morocco (-1.5)this page
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Morocco (-4.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Morocco won
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Morocco won
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)Morocco won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event