TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,419

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,593 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdcc0…6872backed No57c1,063$608 inLost-$607.8516656.6%94 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3272…e542backed Yes25c827.12$206 inWon+$621.395536.4%20 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa83c…a8f4backed Yes67c656.31$438 inWon+$218.632025%5 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d0…74e8backed Yes37c318.92$118 inWon+$200.927213.9%10 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No71c213.62$152 inLost-$152.3224541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Yes50c200$100 inWon+$10023554.9%129 W · 106 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab7b…f350backed No71c199.99$142 inLost-$141.997440.5%30 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ff…9708backed No37c143.17$53 inLost-$52.94650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53a1…b1b0backed No72c138.89$100 inLost-$10017959.2%106 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ad…1b0bbacked Yes43c106.98$46 inWon+$60.985512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick12cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0392…ab02backed Yes47c106.38$50 inWon+$56.3820354.7%111 W · 92 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No44c95.19$42 inLost-$42.172,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5c…a954backed No63c84.13$53 inLost-$535554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked No75c69.87$52 inLost-$52.378038.8%31 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f7…6354backed Yes34c59.18$20 inWon+$39.181346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+70.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c70…14a8backed Yes29c58.62$17 inWon+$41.622123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5522…c807backed No68c49.99$34 inLost-$33.9916056.3%90 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x59c6…e6d4backed No30c45$14 inLost-$13.652227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-62%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfc20…8ed3backed Yes58c43.1$25 inWon+$18.19659.4%57 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba7b…91f5backed Yes61c40.97$25 inWon+$15.9726144.8%117 W · 144 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed No40c37.9$15 inLost-$15.3120561%125 W · 80 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe588…ad2bbacked Yes46c34.82$16 inWon+$18.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb00f…f072backed Yes60c33.49$20 inWon+$13.495234.6%18 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c5…f6a1backed No70c28.55$20 inLost-$2015754.1%85 W · 72 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1594…a834backed No75c26.67$20 inLost-$209454.3%51 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x969f…2a81backed Yes61c24.59$15 inWon+$9.596526.2%17 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8925…7bc4backed Yes60c21.67$13 inWon+$8.676145.9%28 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb078…289ebacked Yes70c21.43$15 inWon+$6.4320756%116 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882f…a6b3backed Yes50c20$10 inWon+$1015758.6%92 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c7…fedfbacked Yes60c17.27$10 inWon+$6.916256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.