TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$783,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$865,699

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $783,141 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over73c66,387$48,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,214.82,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under21c51,007$10,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,540.4236235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under21c46,252$9,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,749.642,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x996a…e3ccbacked Under35c38,888$13,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,768.271952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c38,746$10,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,602.354,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under10c22,841$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.1314829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under30c18,786$5,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,576.581,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under10c15,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006016.7%10 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under11c14,708$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.714,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under22c13,957$3,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,042.8744130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Under17c12,500$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1504652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under13c12,243$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.6117642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Over62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8005040%20 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under50c8,599$4,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,257.464446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under28c7,861$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20111149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under9c7,777$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.5914325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over77c6,363$4,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.3266846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over66c6,177$4,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.552,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over51c5,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.3531644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Under6c5,844$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.9912144.6%54 W · 67 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe34a…f5f0backed Over67c5,091$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.279848%47 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over51c4,843$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,373.0529138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under9c4,814$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.578,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under9c4,344$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.9417842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9820839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb5…41adbacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under10c3,977$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.361,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe821…3128backed Over75c3,879$2,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.765658.9%33 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Under44c3,843$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.665543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over64c3,459$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.813,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over61c3,294$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.1224341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over56c3,036$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.7133544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec9…1e0cbacked Under10c2,921$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.08137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-84.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over75c2,748$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.9516750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under14c2,704$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.741,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under2c2,518$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4914238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under12c2,436$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79a6…eeecbacked Under14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006735.8%24 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under20c2,132$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9926534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over67c2,066$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.437944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Under2c2,041$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8219738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ec…aa22backed Under2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40523.8%2 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over51c1,929$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.2327655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under8c1,847$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7971638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd42d…621cbacked Under16c1,822$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.082729.6%8 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over72c1,796$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.572,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under34c1,781$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.4277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under12c1,675$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9956541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…46ddbacked Over50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8003548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under9c1,584$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.591,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd22…11ffbacked Over52c1,546$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.156732.8%22 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45019850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013530.4%41 W · 94 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d18…c84dbacked Under10c1,500$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.56738.8%26 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Under34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.984153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdec9…17e8backed Over49c1,495$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.483943.6%17 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over75c1,433$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.331,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d8e…5d6abacked Under46c1,304$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005341.5%22 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under13c1,300$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16923440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under41c1,273$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.22,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x433d…a18ebacked Under4c1,248$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.93616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ede…59e6backed Over78c1,210$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.24266.7%28 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe702…1c29backed Under26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87cb…643abacked Over73c1,080$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.8920942.6%89 W · 120 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under6c1,075$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.661,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Under19c1,050$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.121542.8%92 W · 123 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x533c…ae18backed Under39c1,009$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012224.6%30 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9f…a024backed Over21c1,000$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7901861.1%11 W · 7 L+7.7wins+0.43per pick19cpaid+216.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Under11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…33e1backed Over21c1,000$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7905139.2%20 W · 31 L+12.6wins+0.25per pick14cpaid+138.3%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xda22…61d0backed Over52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.547945.6%36 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c922.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.23646.3%4 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45019744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed Over74c900$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb285…68d3backed Over77c900$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20410169.3%70 W · 31 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under14c900$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12611216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe557…85bcbacked Under7c860.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.253411.8%4 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid+34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under25c824.96$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.991,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under9c792.61$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.51,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff14…dd5bbacked Under42c756.71$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.316046.3%74 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x990d…e207backed Under11c750$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862119%4 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under24c740.42$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.971,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff88…bcd5backed Under16c728$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.925223.1%12 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under25c718.9$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7323036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked Under16c699.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010420.2%21 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Over51c688.2$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.222733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Under8c683$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.131,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under9c670.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7684844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6737223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked Under35c625.91$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.7815341.8%64 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec3c…528ebacked Under29c621.81$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.468336.1%30 W · 53 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under7c606$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.081,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed Over59c599.99$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24417040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over68c588.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2455153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.