Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ad7c943888125cb2a6e3b24db1a3f68b1d9665176663b0e2f209a52505dc86b

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $78,725
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $74,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,725 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x224f…514abacked Under	71c	11,655$8,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,379.95	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over	15c	7,810$1,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,180.35	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	20c	4,880$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$972.21	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	29c	4,623$1,341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,340.67	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	72c	3,000$2,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839.99	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	24c	2,347$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.03	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	78c	2,089$1,639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.17	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over	28c	1,786$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	372	23.9%89 W · 283 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Over	28c	1,782$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	72c	1,776$1,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.45	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over	28c	1,707$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.94	151	41.7%63 W · 88 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over	19c	1,703$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.69	134	47.8%64 W · 70 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	77c	1,388$1,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.34	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Over	28c	1,303$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	72c	1,250$896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.29	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	71c	1,250$893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.7	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over	29c	1,176$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.95	282	58.2%164 W · 118 L	+10.0wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	28c	1,157$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.06	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	25c	1,058$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.74	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over	29c	1,034$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	329	22.5%74 W · 255 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	27c	914.27$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.85	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over	23c	578.89$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.8	334	38.6%129 W · 205 L	-17.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ea…6ebbbacked Over	29c	560.52$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.55	56	21.4%12 W · 44 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over	28c	535.71$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	291	38.8%113 W · 178 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under	72c	499.98$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over	18c	464.99$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.95	238	20.6%49 W · 189 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Under	76c	393.11$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.11	284	44.4%126 W · 158 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under	72c	347.22$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.22	74	71.6%53 W · 21 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	69cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Over	6c	265.43$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.59	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x266a…3579backed Over	28c	260.71$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+52.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Over	28c	222$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.16	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Over	28c	214.29$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	317	28.1%89 W · 228 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under	77c	200$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	524	55%288 W · 236 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over	28c	200$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	269	21.6%58 W · 211 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over	28c	200$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	270	28.9%78 W · 192 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under	73c	200$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	281	64.1%180 W · 101 L	+16.0wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7076…6adcbacked Under	73c	200$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	62	62.9%39 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b57…84ebbacked Over	27c	185.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	101	46.5%47 W · 54 L	+7.8wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over	28c	179.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	277	42.2%117 W · 160 L	-12.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d89…dc09backed Over	28c	178.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	153	44.4%68 W · 85 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over	28c	178.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Over	8c	169.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	181	18.2%33 W · 148 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over	29c	168.79$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.95	221	35.3%78 W · 143 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over	30c	167.2$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	524	41.4%217 W · 307 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660e…0e69backed Over	10c	160$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over	29c	155.31$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.04	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8026…4005backed Over	12c	119.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	98	19.4%19 W · 79 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Over	29c	116.61$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.82	248	43.1%107 W · 141 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32b5…61f9backed Over	29c	116.07$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.66	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over	29c	113.83$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.01	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…b5abbacked Over	29c	100.83$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.24	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over	29c	99.1$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.74	157	22.3%35 W · 122 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under	73c	93.71$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.27	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd13c…98a7backed Under	73c	90$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.05	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-8.9wins	-0.23per pick	66cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Over	28c	89.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	84	29.8%25 W · 59 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over	28c	89.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe1…af91backed Over	28c	81.93$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.94	100	47%47 W · 53 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7b8…b31cbacked Over	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc169…cb6abacked Over	26c	69.23$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	170	47.1%80 W · 90 L	+10.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd156…8569backed Under	73c	68.49$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.49	72	73.6%53 W · 19 L	+7.3wins	+0.10per pick	63cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	28c	64$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.92	308	36%111 W · 197 L	-17.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Over	28c	60$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	138	38.4%53 W · 85 L	-8.6wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98e0…6695backed Over	28c	53.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-3.2wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe325…34d0backed Over	29c	52.34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	71c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	815	54.8%447 W · 368 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	21c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under	71c	49.29$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.29	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f6c…6822backed Over	27c	40.74$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-42%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	71c	29.98$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.6	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	71c	27.36$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.86	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1ab…faadbacked Under	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	104	65.4%68 W · 36 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2176…bc30backed Under	72c	26.92$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.46	276	63%174 W · 102 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad6…eed6backed Under	72c	26.92$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.46	229	57.6%132 W · 97 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under	71c	25.01$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.13	866	56.4%488 W · 378 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f04…2392backed Under	72c	24.12$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.67	238	66.8%159 W · 79 L	+12.5wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under	72c	19.87$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.6	425	54.4%231 W · 194 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e08…d327backed Under	75c	19.8$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.95	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Morocco (-4.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Morocco won
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Morocco won
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)Morocco won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event