TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,717

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,336 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over16c4,846$797 inLost-$797.448,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over15c3,000$450 inLost-$45038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over15c1,544$226 inLost-$226.1447127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f43…e4aebacked Over16c1,475$236 inLost-$2368118.5%15 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over9c1,470$130 inLost-$130.192,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f6c…3ae2backed Over15c1,086$163 inLost-$162.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Over15c1,033$155 inLost-$1555024%12 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over4c737.96$29 inLost-$28.522,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over15c666.67$100 inLost-$10016136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over3c470$14 inLost-$14.11,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Over15c433.33$65 inLost-$659751.5%50 W · 47 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7932…bb2fbacked Over4c384.73$16 inLost-$15.843417.6%6 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d10…7075backed Over10c300$30 inLost-$304537.8%17 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over15c267.9$40 inLost-$40.233,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over17c206.18$35 inLost-$3534526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over11c205.29$22 inLost-$21.882,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over15c200$30 inLost-$3097742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Over15c145$22 inLost-$21.7516418.9%31 W · 133 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over15c131.62$19 inLost-$19.163,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad1…35d0backed Over10c118.84$12 inLost-$12478.5%4 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5a3…1c2dbacked Over13c118.38$15 inLost-$152630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-40%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Over15c100.62$15 inLost-$15.259635.4%34 W · 62 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over16c100$16 inLost-$161,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Over16c100$16 inLost-$1621955.3%121 W · 98 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over15c100$15 inLost-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcac9…b4bbbacked Over15c100$15 inLost-$155735.1%20 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over15c87.28$13 inLost-$13.0973234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbe…7ba1backed Over17c76.47$13 inLost-$1318036.1%65 W · 115 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.