Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a12a40c86b6ab7384bd1fda1b7e02ebef2118aff1cecfc9517188453e63f9ec

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $103,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $110,910

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,027 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x224f…514abacked Under	70c	15,500$10,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,713.99	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	31c	13,341$4,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,135.71	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	71c	8,439$6,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,431.21	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Over	30c	7,500$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,249.99	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	7c	6,242$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.17	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	72c	5,500$3,942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,557.78	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	29c	4,243$1,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,214.38	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under	69c	3,654$2,521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,132.74	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under	70c	2,216$1,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$664.78	165	46.1%76 W · 89 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc63e…e611backed Over	17c	2,189$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over	19c	2,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	98	21.4%21 W · 77 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-26%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	69c	1,672$1,159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$513.01	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over	31c	1,630$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	226	22.1%50 W · 176 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under	69c	1,346$928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.13	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	2c	837.54$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.18	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	19c	698$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.1	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over	30c	677.59$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.6	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	6c	655$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.65	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	31c	651.8$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.1	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Under	69c	500$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155	192	51.6%99 W · 93 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over	30c	500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	69c	499.98$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.99	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over	30c	449.84$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.16	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over	12c	400$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	198	23.7%47 W · 151 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	17c	390.89$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.02	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Over	31c	323.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	235	54.9%129 W · 106 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked Over	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	55	21.8%12 W · 43 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-12%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Over	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	109	18.3%20 W · 89 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	161	36%58 W · 103 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	10c	292.48$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.22	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	31c	254.53$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.9	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7932…bb2fbacked Over	7c	244.14$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.94	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed Under	71c	234.9$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.12	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+76.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under	69c	227.41$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.18	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	5c	223$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.62	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over	32c	218.75$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	358	48.6%174 W · 184 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ea…d5abbacked Over	7c	214.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	69c	181.71$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.95	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	6c	173$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Over	31c	135.2$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.91	248	43.1%107 W · 141 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	30c	132$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.01	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Over	13c	130$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.95	174	32.8%57 W · 117 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	18c	125$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	69c	124.07$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.46	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Over	31c	115$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.65	237	61.2%145 W · 92 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x407c…4ba3backed Over	31c	114.19$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.4	159	47.2%75 W · 84 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb81…e68bbacked Over	31c	106.97$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.16	75	33.3%25 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over	29c	100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked Over	18c	99.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	282	51.4%145 W · 137 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over	31c	96.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over	25c	84.22$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.95	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under	75c	82.45$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.32	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	76c	72.27$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	30c	70$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.3	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37be…d876backed Over	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf5…ed54backed Over	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+5.0wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972d…b581backed Over	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ccb…6cb3backed Under	71c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	176	45.5%80 W · 96 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	70c	46.67$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	328	55.8%183 W · 145 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682a…c87dbacked Over	24c	42$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	86	39.5%34 W · 52 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over	29c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over	30c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over	30c	35.78$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.73	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…4478backed Over	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Under	69c	29$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.86	509	50.7%258 W · 251 L	-9.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ab…faadbacked Under	71c	28.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	104	65.4%68 W · 36 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under	69c	20.96$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.5	425	54.4%231 W · 194 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5this page
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Morocco (-4.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Morocco won
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Morocco won
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)Morocco won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event