TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Moroccoof Netherlands, Morocco
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,060 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99f0…9495backed Netherlands1c50,000$500 inLost-$50071638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Netherlands1c30,000$280 inLost-$28010740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Netherlands2c12,018$192 inLost-$192.292729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa850…9b11backed Netherlands2c7,442$115 inLost-$114.5315229.6%45 W · 107 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Netherlands2c4,061$100 inLost-$10028535.8%102 W · 183 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Netherlands1c3,889$38 inLost-$3823236.6%85 W · 147 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2022…4517backed Netherlands1c3,837$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Netherlands1c2,404$33 inLost-$33.251,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Netherlands1c2,210$20 inLost-$19.8819125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Netherlands1c1,818$20 inLost-$206266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Netherlands1c1,522$18 inLost-$18.148,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Netherlands1c1,516$20 inLost-$19.571,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Netherlands1c1,163$10 inLost-$10.471,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Netherlands2c1,010$16 inLost-$16.22968.3%8 W · 88 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+73.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Netherlands1c1,000$12 inLost-$1247127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.