Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0570f4544fbb67db2db58ddec2768653d81def584dab85adfec2d116e92ab6e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 56c | 11,740$6,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,168.08 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 6,348$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.16 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 2,572$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.11 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 57c | 1,472$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.87 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Over | 43c | 1,072$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.16 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 55c | 610.98$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.94 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.9 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…6885backed Over | 46c | 279.67$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.65 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf6…cf2abacked Over | 43c | 278.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 269.67$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.05 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 44c | 250.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Under | 55c | 249.76$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.39 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 56c | 227.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 56c | 201.76$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 44c | 196.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 25c | 190.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over | 45c | 179.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 12c | 155.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 43c | 148.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 131.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 56c | 119.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 43c | 110.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…df9abacked Over | 44c | 106.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Over | 32c | 102.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 55c | 89.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 43c | 83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over | 45c | 76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 58c | 66.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 57c | 60.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 57c | 60.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 55c | 59.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Over | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 237 | 61.2%145 W · 92 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…9630backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Over | 43c | 46.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 43c | 45.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a1…a667backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…e3d2backed Under | 67c | 41.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over | 45c | 38.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Under | 57c | 34.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 248 | 43.1%107 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf8…8986backed Under | 58c | 34.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 30.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Over | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Under | 69c | 27.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 57c | 24.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Under | 56c | 21.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 59c | 19.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 56c | 18.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Morocco (-4.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)Morocco won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.