Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d756a9be93ac46fa7bb13b242e50befc663b8b8b76cc2b394a60f565b4faa44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 5c | 10,063$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.19 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9156…3d69backed Over | 5c | 10,025$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.88 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e3…6298backed Over | 0c | 9,995$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 4c | 9,604$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.06 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e3…109bbacked Over | 5c | 5,160$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 3c | 3,787$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.37 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Over | 5c | 3,150$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.69 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 4c | 2,718$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Over | 4c | 2,701$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.22 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…464ebacked Over | 4c | 2,418$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 4c | 2,248$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…57acbacked Over | 5c | 2,156$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 11%12 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 5c | 2,023$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 4c | 1,454$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Over | 5c | 1,405$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Over | 5c | 1,332$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…1e98backed Over | 4c | 1,189$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…d089backed Over | 5c | 1,081$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 4c | 1,044$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 3c | 1,020$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…dd9ebacked Over | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 5c | 836.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Over | 4c | 802.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec12…fd9dbacked Over | 4c | 669.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 155 | 19.4%30 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…0c67backed Over | 5c | 565.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 4c | 526.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…35d0backed Over | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 5c | 499.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 152 | 25.7%39 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f5…f491backed Over | 4c | 454.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 3c | 450.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…645bbacked Over | 4c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…29a8backed Over | 5c | 378$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 41 | 0%0 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 3c | 336.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 4c | 299.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7696…2639backed Over | 4c | 298$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 5c | 293.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Over | 4c | 260.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Over | 6c | 249.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Over | 7c | 205.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5this page
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Morocco (-4.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)Morocco won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.