TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$532,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$502,248

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $532,891 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over15c73,252$10,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,753.118,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Over25c38,410$9,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,602.569131.9%29 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under79c31,089$24,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,654.682,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Over24c20,833$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Over24c20,815$4,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,995.595959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over11c13,214$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.711,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Over23c9,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.997034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Over25c8,888$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2229126.4%24 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over24c7,694$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.561,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over25c6,931$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.362,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under78c6,579$5,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.3251032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under76c6,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over25c5,969$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.812,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over24c5,555$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.232029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over19c5,472$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.5637944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Over10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024539.6%97 W · 148 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under76c5,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.9917842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under76c4,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9944144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x114d…23e2backed Over24c3,958$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over24c3,769$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.5311122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under76c3,587$2,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.192,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Over23c3,478$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over25c3,320$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83018626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over23c3,216$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75028025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0657…14efbacked Over16c3,135$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.571127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-54.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over2c3,091$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.633,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under75c3,072$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7681,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over6c3,017$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.51,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9947144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Over23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9917636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over2c2,750$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.253,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Over1c2,693$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.46362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick1cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Under76c2,632$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.0336939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fc…128dbacked Under77c2,597$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.48452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over17c2,509$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.122,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under77c2,497$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.221,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Over13c2,284$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0731232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over23c2,174$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030140.5%122 W · 179 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over23c2,150$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc1…0c67backed Over26c2,034$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.884311.6%5 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-72.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Over21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42013837.7%52 W · 86 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under76c1,948$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.641,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x939e…0a64backed Under78c1,923$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.084456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66d8…4164backed Over27c1,750$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.552050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over25c1,689$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.0237237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over24c1,676$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.291910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-69%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over22c1,610$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.3995037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under76c1,600$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38447442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over25c1,522$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37533544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c12…405dbacked Over24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Over24c1,458$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509330.1%28 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Under76c1,446$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.0913259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e98…1583backed Over23c1,300$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2998349.4%41 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under76c1,250$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.113,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under76c1,250$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.43,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over22c1,230$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.610330.1%31 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over1c1,129$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under76c1,100$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26437451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under76c1,087$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.524,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over24c1,023$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.2347032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Over24c1,013$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.1734537.1%128 W · 217 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2505538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over25c1,000$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25447127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Under76c999.97$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9930345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Over24c916.67$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22019442.3%82 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over2c900.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.292,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Under77c869.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.11442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under76c848.9$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7558942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a1…e26abacked Over24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025528.6%73 W · 182 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9a…5278backed Over24c794.83$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.762433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under75c776.65$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.671,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under75c770.25$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.884844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over24c750$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0e8…904cbacked Under76c697.37$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.375038%19 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under75c666$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.52,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Under77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3520448.5%99 W · 105 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over3c645.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.162,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Over4c557.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1517432.8%57 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over15c532$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9615932.7%52 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over25c522.44$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13025737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Under77c515.91$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6643139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11552455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeac5…2003backed Under74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1305540%22 W · 33 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13558926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Under77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11518644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Over23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11513641.9%57 W · 79 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78b1…7d20backed Over5c482.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.775335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under77c440$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.219062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Over23c428.72$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6122914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.