TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,982
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,982 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c16,968$10,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,031.584,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93aa…4ab1backed Over39c14,305$5,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,578.761464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under61c11,598$7,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,563.221,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over16c8,055$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.198,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under61c5,707$3,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.6586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over40c5,555$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22232029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over42c4,729$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9974568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Over39c4,450$1,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.314351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under61c4,019$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.82,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Over40c3,750$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Under60c3,748$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.137337%27 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over1c3,239$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.33,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b8f…266bbacked Over10c2,625$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.212336.6%45 W · 78 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Under62c2,056$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.457753.2%41 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over23c2,001$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.29821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under79c1,952$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.924,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over39c1,821$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over20c1,663$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.892,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea6…40e3backed Over38c1,561$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.991513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-35.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over16c1,259$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.94,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under60c1,250$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.473,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Over40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002552%13 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over32c1,115$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.162,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under61c1,006$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.622,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c2…e754backed Over20c990.75$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.152373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over18c850.99$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.931,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1635…26bfbacked Over25c811.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005139.2%20 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1318…69afbacked Over39c769.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018028.3%51 W · 129 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Under59c740$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30019750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742d…020dbacked Over42c645.41$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.443020%6 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191e…dd9ebacked Over41c567.22$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.568831.8%28 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under62c550$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20961750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under60c473.67$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4776551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under61c421.2$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.272,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over14c410.65$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.992,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over38c383$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.542,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over24c342.92$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.741,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over22c312.52$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.448328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11467354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over26c294.13$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.311,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under79c271.97$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.311,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeff5…dd85backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010546.7%49 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023554.9%129 W · 106 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.532254%174 W · 148 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd842…775bbacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47b7…4d82backed Over27c222$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over18c220.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.67350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f3…b8e5backed Over39c209.03$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.522030%6 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cff…ce54backed Over39c186.18$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.617349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over43c167$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2665036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…7143backed Over17c166.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.263735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under60c166$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.931,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under78c163$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.861,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Over40c160$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick37cpaid-66.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ea7…f90cbacked Over40c159.03$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.611560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under79c150$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over45c139$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3287237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Under63c137.94$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3524843.1%107 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over45c135$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.751,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc12…f422backed Over19c130$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.63641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Over40c125.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6704…eb81backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507244.4%32 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2842…fb48backed Over40c122.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.992864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under60c116.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6735848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Over40c112.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459751.5%50 W · 47 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over40c110$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa32…99a6backed Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017945.3%81 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under62c99.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3848147.8%230 W · 251 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under62c89.18$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5442332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x119d…bec3backed Over35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020432.8%67 W · 137 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf7…1958backed Under61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9721247.2%100 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffab…78babacked Over38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.412267.2%82 W · 40 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3ecc…1d30backed Over40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326150.8%31 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb142…69febacked Over43c79.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.065062%31 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under62c79$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6488852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x608f…3223backed Over40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb2…71a2backed Over40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307243.1%31 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a58…4890backed Over40c74.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over20c72.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.672,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under59c70.02$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.411,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over24c70$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.841444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under61c64.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.352,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x561e…c991backed Over41c63.54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610938.5%42 W · 67 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3607…c08bbacked Over40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517528%49 W · 126 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba1…1734backed Over39c60.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.784854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under60c55.61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2466056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf351…135bbacked Over29c55.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163821.1%8 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5965…33b5backed Over39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204967.3%33 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c13…d015backed Over39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2086656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9530…ce5abacked Over38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ac7…4b3ebacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013147.3%62 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.519040.5%77 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under60c49.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.981,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under65c49.15$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.051,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.