TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,848 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5351…9b3cbacked Under24c39,860$9,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,464.218943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over77c12,318$9,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,833.1423942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over76c11,777$8,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.524,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over76c8,201$6,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.452,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Under24c8,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9207337%27 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over76c6,579$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.9530465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over42c5,924$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,461.554,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over76c5,260$3,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.531,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Over64c4,500$2,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.9910471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under23c4,465$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.522,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under24c4,340$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.4870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over53c2,943$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.262,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over64c2,681$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b99…4b3abacked Under25c2,480$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.884327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd42d…621cbacked Under15c1,822$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.082729.6%8 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under24c1,722$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.952,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Over77c1,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3456150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over38c1,499$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.081,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30e4…5102backed Under23c1,366$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.091637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb54…8c93backed Over77c1,292$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.775545.5%25 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under24c1,250$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.753,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under23c1,250$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.673,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under23c1,005$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1916633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under14c900$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12611216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over57c882.53$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.5316965.1%110 W · 59 L+14.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x72a3…785fbacked Over76c868.42$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4220049.5%99 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under59c736.75$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.1216165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40028251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c8…1e91backed Over77c698.64$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.697028.6%20 W · 50 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x912c…aa92backed Over77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.357374%54 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under6c642.21$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.262,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Over49c619$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9210273.5%75 W · 27 L+15.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+40.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Over75c589.44$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.367844.9%35 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under23c514.63$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.391,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26024626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12097742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12a9…af78backed Under16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803514.3%5 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a38…ab6dbacked Over77c480.52$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.521877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff88…bcd5backed Under14c428$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.925223.1%12 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked Under15c407.66$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0710420.2%21 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Under22c407.2$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6819251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under46c374$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.582,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c371.46$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.173,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under23c366.32$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.042,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under17c354.22$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.132,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…4d6ebacked Over57c351.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.432544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over48c343$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0912266.4%81 W · 41 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a03…a455backed Over70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907038.6%27 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under24c299.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.81,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Over77c298.92$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.224843.1%107 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…3776backed Under21c291.95$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.774717%8 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over76c290.87$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.941,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under22c251.81$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.512,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over46c231.79$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3248328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under24c230$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.692,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under14c199.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over76c194.47$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.761,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under25c182.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5248937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf2…326abacked Over76c169.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.811749.6%58 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed Over31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.298032.5%26 W · 54 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-22.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5062…be14backed Over76c156.87$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8723863.4%151 W · 87 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under24c120$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Under25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015440.3%62 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over79c119$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5673536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e0d…f47ebacked Over76c105.26$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.268363.9%53 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b5…2c66backed Over71c104.84$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.41770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under12c104.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5145145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over77c102$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4622058.2%128 W · 92 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f9e…d520backed Under29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292817.9%5 W · 23 L-6.1wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-62.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over76c98.7$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6942853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Over76c97.97$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5115667.9%106 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Under41c96.1$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Over33c94$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5617659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x37be…d876backed Over76c92.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1112048.3%58 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Over49c88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8811167.6%75 W · 36 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67fa…4647backed Over76c85.53$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.531163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Under60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over76c82.93$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5642332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked Over57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.528251.4%145 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under36c80$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.872247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under25c76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.271,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under24c70$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fc…432bbacked Over70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2124955.4%138 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3743…7bc1backed Over76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7919660.7%119 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd3…e427backed Over76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.797167.6%48 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under24c65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12cb…4fe3backed Over77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over76c64.4$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4688852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Over76c64.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3827363.4%173 W · 100 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e20…a1aabacked Over57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.42792.6%25 W · 2 L+6.2wins+0.23per pick70cpaid+56.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under23c59.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.941,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under23c59.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9286656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed Over76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6313357.1%76 W · 57 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2820651.9%107 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa32…99a6backed Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1517945.3%81 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf28…6e45backed Over77c45.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.451471.4%10 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287e…c0acbacked Over54c43.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.238047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3b7…74b7backed Over57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.86922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-66.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.