TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,960,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,918,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,960,722 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 939 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c211,552$95,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,692.154,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over51c109,710$56,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,518.6264446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c63,623$29,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,059.783,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b42…063ebacked Over73c50,000$36,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,500580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd562…ec23backed Under0c46,156$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.166358.7%37 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce80…9a82backed Under48c42,759$20,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,428.283951.3%20 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+10.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c42,381$20,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,4241,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under38c38,753$14,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,747.4477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Under28c30,585$8,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,563.722139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Over62c30,000$18,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,4005040%20 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over37c27,816$10,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,426.9242541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over46c23,670$10,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,725.281,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over65c22,588$14,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,803.131,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Over61c21,297$12,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,357.3610057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over31c20,543$6,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,168.0528229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Over71c20,067$14,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,798.53955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over16c19,374$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,274.431,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Over16c18,750$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,7507416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c17,907$8,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,870.558,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over59c14,681$8,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,957.643737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under55c14,460$7,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,940.392,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under62c14,325$8,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,873.792,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under51c14,118$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,20036235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Over73c13,699$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,698.633663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over52c13,450$7,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,411.5631545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over16c13,170$2,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,058.8349441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over22c10,747$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,365.8114132.6%46 W · 95 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over28c10,712$3,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,672.9866846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Over51c10,372$5,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,085.731369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+54.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over36c10,208$3,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,498.3333544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Over30c10,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,00026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Over34c9,500$3,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,224.988063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeb43…4201backed Over39c9,223$3,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,642.374546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Over50c8,780$4,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,398.3836939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over57c8,443$4,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,648.8423857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under28c7,645$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.629740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under71c7,294$5,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,16914246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over42c6,485$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,740.7474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over16c6,249$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.485550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under28c6,176$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.872,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under29c6,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under29c6,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under29c6,000$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.9947144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under29c6,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.9948441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under67c5,913$3,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,961.8344130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under43c5,768$2,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,465.1344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under70c5,743$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under35c5,603$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.22,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over73c5,479$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.458672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Over45c5,443$2,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,993.657150.7%36 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under47c5,370$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.1934845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under1c5,021$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2134731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40017842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over67c4,995$3,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.4614463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over51c4,856$2,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.0139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under29c4,800$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39244144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9192…deb7backed Over44c4,510$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,510.133444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under28c4,455$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.511,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over52c4,352$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.6237944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under30c4,146$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.571,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under29c4,096$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.351,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over18c4,020$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,280.81,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under26c3,962$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.9118628.5%53 W · 133 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79a6…eeecbacked Under51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006735.8%24 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe34a…f5f0backed Over46c3,889$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.639848%47 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over67c3,692$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.3730465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a22…7b00backed Over42c3,571$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.433467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under41c3,485$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.3833740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over66c3,421$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.6877433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Over66c3,356$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.2624539.6%97 W · 148 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Over58c3,346$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.385543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under36c3,334$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.9922029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over44c3,316$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.511,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under29c3,200$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.9947442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over16c3,125$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,62518626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x533c…ae18backed Under49c3,098$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb98…b473backed Over70c3,036$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.712466.7%16 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under66c3,030$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Over71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8707034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under49c2,991$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.5819946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under51c2,913$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.999525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under48c2,899$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.8837223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Under28c2,834$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.528938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over44c2,833$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.672,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9de…9353backed Over71c2,802$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.63961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over71c2,799$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.5916750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Under6c2,674$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.989323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under28c2,656$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.751032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over56c2,631$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.9737242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under29c2,607$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.033,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67c3…a272backed Under58c2,572$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003056.7%17 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa516…0392backed Under59c2,542$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Over41c2,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4756352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over70c2,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3d3…804bbacked Under50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2509033.3%30 W · 60 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Over40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50026445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.0229138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.