NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fcf50570f247b6826fa091d73c429f80607852afebc09879c42518994866966
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Nuggets, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,225,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,534,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,225,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Nuggets | 30c | 540,826$161,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161,431.39 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Thunder | 70c | 382,445$267,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,733.42 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Nuggets | 31c | 278,606$85,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,804.45 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 10c | 231,018$23,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,867.35 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Thunder | 54c | 157,431$84,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,995.21 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Thunder | 71c | 152,457$108,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,226.5 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Thunder | 73c | 110,330$80,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,789.08 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 32c | 100,967$31,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,909.24 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa491…3177backed Nuggets | 27c | 89,499$23,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,994.79 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Nuggets | 43c | 88,000$38,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,049.97 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Nuggets | 38c | 83,000$31,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,480 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 70c | 73,556$51,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,032.18 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Nuggets | 26c | 73,245$19,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,404.58 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Nuggets | 30c | 69,996$20,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,994.46 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Nuggets | 56c | 63,179$35,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,133.54 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nuggets | 51c | 58,096$29,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,779.12 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Thunder | 73c | 57,546$41,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,602.02 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Thunder | 66c | 50,000$33,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,899.97 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 72c | 48,209$34,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,454.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Nuggets | 24c | 42,960$10,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,310.39 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Thunder | 71c | 42,254$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,253.52 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder | 69c | 41,056$28,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,607.51 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Thunder | 76c | 40,616$30,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,926.07 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Nuggets | 27c | 40,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…099dbacked Thunder | 49c | 39,735$19,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,414.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 71c | 37,636$26,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,810.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Thunder | 70c | 37,004$25,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,101.15 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Nuggets | 0c | 35,032$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Thunder | 69c | 34,912$24,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,822.66 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Nuggets | 18c | 33,803$6,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,210 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Nuggets | 25c | 31,698$7,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,924.58 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Thunder | 69c | 30,800$21,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,548 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 29c | 29,024$8,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,448.57 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Thunder | 70c | 28,516$19,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,554.73 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nuggets | 29c | 28,286$8,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,189.1 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 71c | 28,235$20,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,172.94 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Nuggets | 31c | 26,146$8,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,019.76 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…0fa2backed Thunder | 75c | 25,420$18,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,463.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Nuggets | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Thunder | 70c | 24,903$17,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,470.9 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Thunder | 65c | 24,796$16,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,650.67 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder | 48c | 23,444$11,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,105.35 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 72c | 22,766$16,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,467.59 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Nuggets | 30c | 21,302$6,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,386.74 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Thunder | 58c | 20,709$12,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,697.59 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x512e…4f1bbacked Nuggets | 34c | 20,613$7,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,086.49 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Thunder | 70c | 20,142$14,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,108.6 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…d8e5backed Nuggets | 0c | 19,303$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Thunder | 66c | 19,303$12,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,523.38 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…522fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 18,837$9,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,060.49 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Nuggets | 27c | 18,664$5,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,115.59 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Nuggets | 27c | 18,519$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 58c | 17,751$10,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,259.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5064…3ba3backed Nuggets | 57c | 17,300$9,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,943.92 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Thunder | 58c | 17,241$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,241.38 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Thunder | 52c | 17,201$9,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,193.49 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…6d18backed Thunder | 74c | 16,950$12,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,407 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Thunder | 70c | 16,493$11,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,947.86 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nuggets | 44c | 15,797$6,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,952.55 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Thunder | 47c | 14,711$6,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,846.94 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Thunder | 69c | 14,068$9,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340.91 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Nuggets | 36c | 13,965$4,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,973 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Thunder | 61c | 13,595$8,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,260.84 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Thunder | 70c | 13,544$9,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,063.2 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 58c | 13,373$7,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,811.32 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Thunder | 39c | 12,964$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,963.79 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Nuggets | 0c | 12,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Thunder | 62c | 12,479$7,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,763.59 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nuggets | 49c | 12,000$5,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,870 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Thunder | 60c | 11,220$6,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,453.1 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 64c | 10,970$6,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.91 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…fe4abacked Nuggets | 61c | 10,808$6,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,543.83 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Thunder | 51c | 10,700$5,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,246.76 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…0d8cbacked Nuggets | 29c | 10,201$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.31 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Thunder | 70c | 10,100$7,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.09 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…9a8cbacked Nuggets | 28c | 10,060$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.64 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 21c | 10,010$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.03 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 48c | 10,000$4,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,201.17 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 29c | 10,000$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.32 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Nuggets | 26c | 9,980$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.88 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…6007backed Nuggets | 51c | 9,750$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Nuggets | 26c | 9,596$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Nuggets | 30c | 9,581$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.44 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…73d5backed Nuggets | 27c | 9,500$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Thunder | 73c | 9,500$6,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked Thunder | 73c | 9,375$6,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.25 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…da92backed Thunder | 31c | 9,279$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,403.67 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Nuggets | 27c | 9,259$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…87f0backed Nuggets | 27c | 9,241$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…e163backed Nuggets | 28c | 9,031$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Nuggets | 27c | 9,000$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Thunder | 73c | 9,000$6,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.96 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Nuggets | 1c | 8,937$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Nuggets | 30c | 8,916$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.68 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…e72abacked Nuggets | 0c | 8,732$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 46c | 8,687$3,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.55 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Thunder | 70c | 8,510$5,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.98 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Thunder | 59c | 8,441$5,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,431.59 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 27c | 8,055$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.82 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Thunder | 56c | 8,054$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,554.2 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Thunderthis page
- Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Over won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.