NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8955c0d220c4692cce6793d70f9d56607cbde70e620c3abb76912448efcf3c01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,336 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 76ers | 51c | 560.49$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.74 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed 76ers | 58c | 288$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.04 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 237.45$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.03 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 230$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Grizzlies | 50c | 199.93$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.39 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | +16.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 185.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.38 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 180.83$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.22 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Grizzlies | 53c | 178.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Grizzlies | 56c | 168$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed 76ers | 59c | 151.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Grizzlies | 58c | 144$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 76ers | 55c | 107.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…176bbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 102$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…be21backed 76ers | 54c | 92.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…f574backed 76ers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Grizzlies | 59c | 68.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b8…f0dabacked Grizzlies | 44c | 67.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers | 57c | 65.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked 76ers | 56c | 51.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed 76ers | 47c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…8b38backed 76ers | 37c | 41.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked 76ers | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…657bbacked 76ers | 67c | 29.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Grizzlies | 57c | 25.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked 76ers | 68c | 21.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed 76ers | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers76ers won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 246.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 247.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 263.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 266.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 267.5Over won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)76ers won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Ty Jerome: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.