TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,449 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7412…85d0backed 76ers47c15,005$7,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,957.9326544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce3…43b8backed Grizzlies59c8,349$4,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,934.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed 76ers47c6,563$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,452.9217144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Grizzlies53c4,824$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.771,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers43c3,479$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.794,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Grizzlies52c3,332$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.421,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Grizzlies53c2,955$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56617454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Grizzlies59c2,634$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.5815844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies53c2,514$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Grizzlies53c2,452$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.3615450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Grizzlies52c2,388$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.6711252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers44c2,359$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.884,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked 76ers47c2,292$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.845147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers41c2,162$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.284,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8490…8732backed 76ers48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.331266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Grizzlies53c1,629$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.2915349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Grizzlies56c1,573$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.349352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers42c1,457$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.118,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed 76ers44c1,192$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.831,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers47c1,071$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.585,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked 76ers43c889.28$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.492,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked 76ers44c831.59$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.7895651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed 76ers44c831$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.3658951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Grizzlies55c626.99$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.841,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8fe…9f73backed 76ers47c600$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.087044.3%31 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Grizzlies53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Grizzlies53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Grizzlies57c526.64$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014450.7%73 W · 71 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed 76ers47c504.03$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.2417953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Grizzlies51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed 76ers41c485.44$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.591,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers46c467.97$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.343,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies53c444.7$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.692,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Grizzlies53c422.46$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.3523348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed 76ers48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.679245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Grizzlies53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21266645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Grizzlies53c399.05$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4119547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Grizzlies56c394.88$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.122846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed 76ers41c390.24$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.2452146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x451f…7301backed Grizzlies56c357.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007853.8%42 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies58c332.3$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.883,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Grizzlies66c318.61$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.2856646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed 76ers43c283.49$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.321,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Grizzlies52c282.82$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.071,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Grizzlies52c256.59$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.991,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked 76ers41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.943447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed 76ers44c215.5$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.681,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78cc…65a4backed Grizzlies53c209.77$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.07933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9225…00eebacked 76ers48c205.26$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.74850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked 76ers44c205.01$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0117035.9%61 W · 109 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2678…cef5backed 76ers48c203.26$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Grizzlies57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11461957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x811e…9b75backed Grizzlies53c198.75$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.34771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Grizzlies52c188.65$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0392058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Grizzlies59c173.59$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8245452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffab…8bfabacked 76ers47c169$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.57683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+70.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed 76ers41c159.28$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0617960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3038…eba7backed 76ers42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+50.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked 76ers45c140.04$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed 76ers44c136.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6712735.4%45 W · 82 L-12.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked 76ers44c125.39$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7639943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked 76ers46c119.96$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8426034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked 76ers44c114.89$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.216642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Grizzlies53c112$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3695260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x387e…ca5dbacked Grizzlies66c111.68$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.715362.3%33 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked 76ers42c104.74$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7558450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Grizzlies53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5348751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed 76ers41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Grizzlies56c98.39$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Grizzlies55c98.34$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5425452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies53c96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.883,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…c55abacked Grizzlies54c95.58$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.614557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Grizzlies53c94.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0197049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Grizzlies52c90.46$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked 76ers44c84.97$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2315752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Grizzlies58c84.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.152,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0429…64ffbacked Grizzlies53c82$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.38540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Grizzlies52c81.29$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2787744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed 76ers50c80.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Grizzlies57c79.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4714046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed 76ers47c71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6336045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed 76ers44c68.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.339844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c66…d95cbacked Grizzlies58c68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.37650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked 76ers45c66.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5535843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed 76ers46c62.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.390357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2779…d589backed 76ers42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Grizzlies59c50.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9134248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Grizzlies50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd45…ba6fbacked Grizzlies58c49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.37450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed Grizzlies56c44.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512857.8%74 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed 76ers45c42.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5653339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed 76ers44c41.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.541,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Grizzlies60c41.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529348.5%142 W · 151 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked 76ers45c41.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.928943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed Grizzlies54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.660267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x17aa…f01cbacked Grizzlies53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c34…a10dbacked Grizzlies53c35.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.945042%21 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf841…b2ebbacked 76ers50c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5314049.3%69 W · 71 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Grizzlies68c34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.121,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb153…37f7backed Grizzlies58c33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.