TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$301,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,034 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed 76ers50c65,028$32,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,527.5732653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Grizzlies50c56,822$28,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,392.6639842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Grizzlies49c54,809$26,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,815.2623147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers50c32,576$16,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,203.734,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies50c24,406$12,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,163.074,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Grizzlies50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers47c6,736$3,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,571.481,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Grizzlies51c5,883$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies51c5,787$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,940.169,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked 76ers50c5,698$2,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8491,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Grizzlies51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.9869149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed 76ers51c4,200$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,05882442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked 76ers52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked 76ers52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9913954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked 76ers49c3,794$1,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.522,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers47c3,217$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.916,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53b4…ae5cbacked 76ers46c2,845$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc8e…0fefbacked 76ers45c2,788$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa8…8c9cbacked 76ers45c2,544$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Grizzlies51c2,540$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.4410953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2252,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a5…b4d0backed Grizzlies55c2,493$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4862…e1f0backed 76ers46c2,479$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa910…f472backed Grizzlies55c2,466$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8315…3568backed Grizzlies55c2,455$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbcf…cc52backed 76ers45c2,453$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick46cpaid+119.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec3e…fb8bbacked 76ers46c2,448$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…c973backed Grizzlies54c2,412$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0dd…cec5backed 76ers45c2,405$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6198…cfd7backed Grizzlies55c2,402$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1560…16fabacked Grizzlies54c2,397$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea4…bf64backed Grizzlies54c2,386$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc82…8a9abacked Grizzlies55c2,360$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Grizzlies53c2,350$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.2548054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8730…078cbacked 76ers46c2,341$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43ce…e24bbacked Grizzlies54c2,339$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…4ac7backed Grizzlies55c2,331$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc6…eadfbacked Grizzlies54c2,306$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82b7…f2e2backed Grizzlies54c2,285$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4467…83d0backed Grizzlies54c2,266$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50d5…7674backed 76ers45c2,255$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3101…a113backed 76ers46c2,253$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a67…cb47backed 76ers45c2,241$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6897…31d7backed 76ers46c2,238$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x712d…ff3fbacked Grizzlies54c2,225$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7559…94bdbacked Grizzlies55c2,206$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf06…efa5backed Grizzlies54c2,171$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xede5…83b4backed Grizzlies55c2,156$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb684…069abacked Grizzlies54c2,154$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa9…4a32backed 76ers46c2,139$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9674…7af1backed 76ers45c2,124$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f7c…8b90backed Grizzlies54c2,112$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d81…e3acbacked Grizzlies54c2,109$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70e8…59b8backed Grizzlies55c2,104$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe58e…7f0ebacked 76ers46c2,099$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed 76ers48c2,058$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.9743148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb699…18fcbacked Grizzlies54c2,052$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d9…cbfbbacked Grizzlies55c2,047$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x434d…dff9backed 76ers46c2,046$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e8…e45dbacked 76ers46c2,024$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x707a…cbf4backed Grizzlies54c2,010$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c3…bae2backed 76ers46c2,009$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe258…b4d2backed Grizzlies55c2,008$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbff8…5a39backed 76ers46c1,995$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa72e…74f7backed 76ers45c1,976$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Grizzlies53c1,952$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.5727052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f0…5f39backed 76ers45c1,951$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2618…8f8bbacked Grizzlies54c1,949$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd101…7cacbacked Grizzlies55c1,945$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9516…69e6backed 76ers45c1,929$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick46cpaid+119.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0da0…6c21backed Grizzlies55c1,919$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d7…2233backed Grizzlies54c1,912$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2457…fb8ebacked 76ers46c1,900$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5770…df85backed Grizzlies54c1,883$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59a2…f698backed 76ers45c1,879$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f85…e320backed 76ers46c1,866$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc601…75f8backed Grizzlies55c1,853$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2beb…f1f4backed 76ers45c1,849$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60f…8650backed 76ers46c1,839$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1c7…4ccfbacked Grizzlies54c1,839$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f9…5e0bbacked 76ers46c1,835$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cc…018cbacked Grizzlies55c1,834$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a60…dd77backed 76ers45c1,833$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e8b…3282backed 76ers46c1,793$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…f899backed Grizzlies54c1,781$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2536…31e0backed 76ers46c1,780$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5227…5774backed 76ers46c1,770$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a4d…331ebacked Grizzlies54c1,767$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7707…35ecbacked 76ers45c1,734$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbaa…4263backed 76ers46c1,723$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3376…9a40backed 76ers45c1,718$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57ff…9557backed Grizzlies55c1,697$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8046…9bd9backed 76ers46c1,683$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe328…c222backed 76ers46c1,682$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6726…fd8ebacked Grizzlies55c1,676$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6209…aa5cbacked 76ers45c1,649$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick46cpaid+119.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb423…8173backed Grizzlies55c1,637$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b29…d693backed Grizzlies55c1,594$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83b4…1630backed Grizzlies54c1,591$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.