TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$519,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,410 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xadb7…28c1backed Over47c15,474$7,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,201.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x557a…16f6backed Over47c15,346$7,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,133.38785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+70.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x128b…4b40backed Over47c14,576$6,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,725.28785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.44per pick42cpaid+76.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4779…1ddbbacked Over47c13,361$6,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,081.33580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85f3…df1cbacked Under53c12,344$6,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,542.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0009…7fc9backed Under53c12,327$6,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,533.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Under50c12,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3936…4e85backed Over47c11,178$5,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,924.34771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd92d…2e6cbacked Over47c11,000$5,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,830683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+67%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over48c10,748$5,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,588.811,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f49…c7eebacked Over47c10,744$5,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,694.326100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x80c3…f831backed Under53c10,337$5,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,478.611154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3137…b3a2backed Over47c10,116$4,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,361.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e8…e66dbacked Under53c9,983$5,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,290.991050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over48c9,952$4,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,174.961,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2e…01d8backed Over47c9,892$4,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,242.768100%8 W · 0 L+4.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x63d2…c3acbacked Over47c9,806$4,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,197.18785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+65.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x742f…5290backed Over47c9,788$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,187.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9663…ad75backed Over47c9,728$4,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,155.847100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5753…5c69backed Under53c9,209$4,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,880.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89f0…c552backed Under53c9,184$4,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,867.52683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+69.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed9e…89f4backed Under53c9,010$4,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,775.3977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4b9…25f3backed Under53c8,973$4,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,755.69757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a7…dd0bbacked Under53c8,382$4,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,442.46742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over50c8,073$4,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,036.6256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3e3…7211backed Over47c7,985$3,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,232.05785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+68.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba98…80b0backed Under53c7,957$4,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,217.21966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffeb…c48abacked Under53c7,940$4,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,208.21070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9713…7c4dbacked Over47c7,827$3,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,148.31875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae45…04b8backed Over47c7,701$3,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,081.53771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+43.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d62…9912backed Over47c7,537$3,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,994.61875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa27b…e48abacked Over47c7,365$3,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,903.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc460…f994backed Under53c7,218$3,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,825.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde03…01bebacked Under53c7,128$3,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,777.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd953…d186backed Under53c7,115$3,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,770.95955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d6a…f579backed Under53c7,001$3,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,710.53862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2ad…8196backed Under53c7,000$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7101060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under52c7,000$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,64021653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f20…bca3backed Over47c6,942$3,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.26887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick50cpaid+74.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2bd1…1e78backed Under53c6,892$3,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,652.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+67%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over46c6,865$3,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,696.324,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5154…2189backed Over47c6,736$3,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,570.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9062…48fabacked Under53c6,688$3,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,544.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ac…47cbbacked Over47c6,647$3,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,522.91683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe483…12cdbacked Over47c6,468$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,428.04955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3181…18ddbacked Under53c6,406$3,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,395.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c49…7f19backed Under53c6,304$3,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,341.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf2…c95fbacked Under53c6,045$3,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,203.85862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd236…22f0backed Under53c6,014$3,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,187.42850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc15…74e1backed Over47c5,956$2,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,156.68650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e4a…bbc9backed Under53c5,870$3,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,111.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94b9…9640backed Under53c5,790$3,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,068.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18ec…e045backed Under53c5,738$3,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,041.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5304…b2b9backed Over47c5,569$2,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,951.57757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bde…75debacked Under53c5,555$2,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,944.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ad…0214backed Under53c5,485$2,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,907.05771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over49c5,447$2,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,778.4722648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over49c4,999$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,535.4934851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae7c…9830backed Under53c4,978$2,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,638.34862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18f5…8002backed Over47c4,749$2,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,516.97862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd016…6338backed Under53c4,737$2,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,510.61850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ff…c7e5backed Over47c4,601$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.53771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+44.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x588b…f348backed Under53c4,591$2,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.23785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+72.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2e6…4d17backed Under53c4,484$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.52742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9223…c94dbacked Over47c4,464$2,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,365.921145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfad3…d5aabacked Under53c4,151$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…06a8backed Over47c4,131$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.431060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a7b…f95ebacked Under53c3,841$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4f1…e34ebacked Under54c3,754$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0da9…2cb9backed Under53c3,686$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.58425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7576…cb8abacked Under53c3,684$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.52875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c3,649$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.839,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa232…78bdbacked Over47c3,576$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.28580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+66.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf15e…cd10backed Over47c3,530$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaed2…cb78backed Under53c3,527$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62e9…0e01backed Over47c3,511$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.83785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+68.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9bdd…83dbbacked Under53c3,465$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd855…7b98backed Over47c3,460$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb000…9e48backed Under53c3,457$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3be0…77e4backed Under53c3,427$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.31650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac2b…dff6backed Under53c3,376$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac4…8d22backed Under53c3,270$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2458…bd5cbacked Over47c3,200$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+66%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ba6…4640backed Under53c3,170$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.1966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2deb…313ebacked Under53c3,130$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.9862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under54c3,035$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.174,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5da…c830backed Over47c3,029$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.37580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+66.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c3,029$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.213,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82bb…4b3ebacked Under53c3,017$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.01966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5146…d204backed Over47c2,945$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa102…662ebacked Over47c2,877$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.81955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985b…528ebacked Over47c2,868$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.047100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0f05…fe0cbacked Under53c2,865$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5695…9808backed Over47c2,860$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.8785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+77.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a9d…87fcbacked Under53c2,847$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.91425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9af6…dcfdbacked Over47c2,824$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5574…fd49backed Over47c2,821$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.13966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ba…17bdbacked Over47c2,800$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.