NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb202cc903b03574ac788f40cfa947f829e97dee4c0063b816d28cd5a90dbd515
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,475 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers | 53c | 4,156$2,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.41 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Grizzlies | 46c | 2,580$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.57 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Grizzlies | 44c | 2,195$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.8 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 54c | 1,861$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed 76ers | 54c | 1,835$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.03 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,399$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.52 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 1,340$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.1 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,227$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed 76ers | 58c | 1,022$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 1,000$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers | 57c | 931.59$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.58 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed 76ers | 55c | 576.66$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.5 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked 76ers | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 313.62$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.13 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed Grizzlies | 48c | 277.08$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 253.42$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.04 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Grizzlies | 44c | 228.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed 76ers | 42c | 222.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.24 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed 76ers | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 202$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 188.12$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…741dbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 176.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 157$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Grizzlies | 47c | 150.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 47c | 141.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 138.75$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked 76ers | 54c | 127.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked 76ers | 42c | 123.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Grizzlies | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 106.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Grizzlies | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed 76ers | 54c | 95.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed 76ers | 43c | 82.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 78.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Grizzlies | 47c | 74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 72.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…ce1abacked 76ers | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed 76ers | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers | 54c | 58.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…c000backed 76ers | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed 76ers | 57c | 36.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 27.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Grizzlies | 48c | 25.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Grizzlies | 47c | 25.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 46c | 25.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087c…efa7backed Grizzlies | 62c | 19.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers76ers won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 246.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 247.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 263.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 266.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 267.5Over won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)76ers won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Ty Jerome: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.