TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,217

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,675 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked No68c844.33$571 inLost-$570.631,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd94a…4786backed Yes32c555.12$175 inWon+$380.123946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Yes31c540.62$167 inWon+$373.668447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No67c431$290 inLost-$289.826034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No66c351.25$233 inLost-$232.64,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe702…563fbacked Yes31c307.69$97 inWon+$211.073636.1%13 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Yes44c260.55$114 inWon+$146.4719950.8%101 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa237…683cbacked Yes33c181.82$60 inWon+$121.82714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes42c140$59 inWon+$80.7636954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5d3…60ddbacked Yes31c125.81$39 inWon+$86.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes44c113.63$50 inWon+$63.6393145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4792…d1c8backed Yes32c100.29$32 inWon+$68.291526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No70c91.02$63 inLost-$63.3483158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No68c86.6$59 inLost-$59.0192058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5430…c1d3backed No69c75$52 inLost-$51.7522774.4%169 W · 58 L+22.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No67c74.63$50 inLost-$5097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29db…ae12backed Yes31c74.6$23 inWon+$51.47650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c75…de96backed Yes44c56.82$25 inWon+$31.822458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No67c56$38 inLost-$37.5295260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No57c40$23 inLost-$22.888057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca14…48d0backed Yes31c39.23$12 inWon+$27.23728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed No75c38.3$29 inLost-$28.648751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe07f…08d6backed Yes32c37.52$12 inWon+$25.352634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No69c30$21 inLost-$20.71,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed No72c28.33$20 inLost-$20.3326069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81c9…4a47backed No69c25$17 inLost-$17.252842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No62c24.81$15 inLost-$15.3996956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.