TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 18.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,649

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,649 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe401…7b88backed No44c767.4$334 inLost-$334.345,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed No65c504.7$327 inLost-$327.526069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe702…563fbacked Yes35c400$140 inWon+$2603636.1%13 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Yes47c250$118 inWon+$132.51,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1872…bcabbacked No44c226.65$100 inLost-$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a0b…b446backed Yes35c225$79 inWon+$146.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes56c180$101 inWon+$79.278652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29db…ae12backed Yes40c150$60 inWon+$90650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x043f…ca25backed No65c150$98 inLost-$97.56361.9%39 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3942…bfbabacked Yes40c100.95$40 inWon+$60.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No44c89.29$39 inLost-$39.2926034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon+$39.2919950.8%101 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No59c84.74$50 inLost-$5097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ef…3792backed Yes41c83.41$34 inWon+$49.413729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5430…c1d3backed No65c75$49 inLost-$48.7522774.4%169 W · 58 L+22.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x409b…bbffbacked Yes46c64.3$30 inWon+$34.443253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No59c59.76$35 inLost-$35.261,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes57c36.95$21 inWon+$15.8912542.4%53 W · 72 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No43c31.37$14 inLost-$13.5388057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81c9…4a47backed No60c30.26$18 inLost-$18.262842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No45c30$13 inLost-$13.371,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes50c24.97$12 inWon+$12.544,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c75…de96backed Yes56c22.3$12 inWon+$9.812458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.