TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,572 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers51c42,010$21,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,599.391,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Grizzlies48c19,206$9,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,218.8830845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,700.21,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked 76ers52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8401,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Grizzlies51c7,921$4,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,039.4848054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies48c7,577$3,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,668.494,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies50c7,514$3,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,770.282,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed 76ers50c7,032$3,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,516.1417554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies49c6,693$3,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,265.19,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 76ers54c6,353$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,952.421,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Grizzlies50c4,993$2,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,481.1434851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies49c4,992$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448.844,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Grizzlies47c4,063$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.6131643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked 76ers52c3,486$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.2465750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies48c3,287$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.366,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Grizzlies48c2,772$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.561,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed 76ers49c2,737$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.111,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Grizzlies47c1,920$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.232150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies49c1,612$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies46c1,542$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.833,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers45c1,097$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.673,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Grizzlies50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked 76ers55c831.43$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.2226034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Grizzlies51c829.93$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.9116162.7%101 W · 60 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Grizzlies48c629.27$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30232450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Grizzlies51c593.52$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.720154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Grizzlies51c475.89$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24327746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers50c462.94$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.813,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed Grizzlies48c417.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-31.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Grizzlies49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Grizzlies49c379.76$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1623348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Grizzlies51c349.99$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.4928751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies53c326.43$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.563,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed 76ers54c316.54$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7442853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked 76ers49c313.35$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0458450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Grizzlies10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed 76ers31c249.78$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.611,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Grizzlies50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10078652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Grizzlies47c190$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2243052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Grizzlies51c152$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.595047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies45c151.02$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9658740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies48c140.15$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.663,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked 76ers53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9459650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked 76ers48c128.53$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.231,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed 76ers55c118.4$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 76ers44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.641,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies48c112.26$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.884,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Grizzlies50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Grizzlies55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559338.7%36 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Grizzlies51c98.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Grizzlies49c82.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.041,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4683…1218backed 76ers54c81.48$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.485345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Grizzlies63c79.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.761,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers48c76.2$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.423,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Grizzlies48c74.7$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7811748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 76ers35c66.26$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.941,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x93ba…5afbbacked 76ers53c66.16$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.161181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+54.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Grizzlies49c66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5638252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked 76ers49c59.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5954951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed 76ers42c55.57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.271,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Grizzlies46c54.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9335444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Grizzlies48c49.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2215752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 76ers44c49.72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.92,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Grizzlies48c49.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8714046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Grizzlies57c48.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4910145.5%46 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Grizzlies21c48.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.231,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies56c48.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.692,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Grizzlies48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1632747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Grizzlies48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1662049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Grizzlies48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1627345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Grizzlies48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1632947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Grizzlies49c40.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012841.4%53 W · 75 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed 76ers54c38.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.825651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Grizzlies45c36.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.521,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca34…eababacked Grizzlies50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Grizzlies68c35.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2790357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed 76ers55c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1176552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Grizzlies51c35.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0729645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed 76ers41c32.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6145452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Grizzlies47c30.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.414151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed 76ers53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.321657.9%125 W · 91 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x350e…7528backed Grizzlies47c27.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.818636%31 W · 55 L-11.0wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Grizzlies49c26.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1528147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed 76ers54c26.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.267248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Grizzlies48c25.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.360945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed 76ers40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1510545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Grizzlies49c24.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7664844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Grizzlies49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.762,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.