TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,068 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a57…2afabacked Under50c50,000$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0008944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over50c47,854$23,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,927.171,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8005750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c9,223$4,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,710.374,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under49c6,087$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c5,731$3,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,014.011,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under48c5,447$2,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,614.5622648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c5,311$2,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.981,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f4…ed78backed Under49c4,694$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3001662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c4,571$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,321.354,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51c3…459fbacked Under48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c3,670$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.581,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c3,629$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77838946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over51c3,184$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.0565750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a67…cb47backed Over49c2,501$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c2,385$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.496,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9674…7af1backed Over49c2,366$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a5…b4d0backed Under51c2,198$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa72e…74f7backed Under51c2,122$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6198…cfd7backed Under51c2,022$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a60…dd77backed Over49c2,016$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xede5…83b4backed Under51c1,900$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0da0…6c21backed Over49c1,745$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec4a…1576backed Under51c1,688$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6726…fd8ebacked Over49c1,502$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under49c1,431$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70047542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb423…8173backed Under51c1,401$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa8…8c9cbacked Over49c1,201$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Over50c1,120$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.2523348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6e…1a11backed Under49c925$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.25850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over51c910$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.13,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c848.94$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.49,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over51c714$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.861,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c621.8$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.852,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c498.17$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.832,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under53c496.19$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.3126034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Under50c439.06$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4316162.7%101 W · 60 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under48c417$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1631643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c357.91$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.038,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over47c340.43$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4352146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14430641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under32c247.68$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.331,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7743447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under48c206.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53f0…fff4backed Under50c200.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004770.2%33 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9422453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over56c171.5$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.233,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Over49c167.51$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5417960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xac94…e414backed Under50c154.83$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.293234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c149$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.972,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb8e…962bbacked Over72c139.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.811855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under29c123.23$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.013,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd3…be19backed Over73c118.68$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over52c115.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6195452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under49c105$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4523946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under49c104.02$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.071,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over51c102$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9828243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4933949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over52c98.07$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1576250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under50c82.35$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2127246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c77.71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.163,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over46c74.39$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.92,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dea…8d3abacked Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.77560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8487…a68bbacked Under52c59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.686741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x403d…2709backed Over51c58.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.943754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over49c57.31$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.221,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over56c53.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5145452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under53c50.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.571,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.516141.6%67 W · 94 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabae…d62dbacked Over51c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.558145.7%37 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x465a…c619backed Under38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1fc…7cc1backed Under49c39.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3914471.5%103 W · 41 L+22.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under49c39.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2635843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over48c38.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9495047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Under32c36.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6312227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over51c34.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7618150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…eaecbacked Over53c34.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.022050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd25c…fe19backed Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6117652.3%92 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8fa…53d1backed Under53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e1…e467backed Under53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0346447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Over66c29.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1014456.3%81 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.795,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc40…abd3backed Over70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.573956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc89…3015backed Under50c26.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.291947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under54c24.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2852552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over47c21.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2891746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Under53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5611946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7223453%124 W · 110 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8695…6e97backed Under51c19.84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over69c18.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6513950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.