NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96da402674d5ad1e5d319e61a7d3c6a8d3b77ded2e62cfc85f9d2add9e4b1371
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,872 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 28,095$14,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,049.02 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 10,800$5,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,274.58 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 50c | 8,988$4,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,494 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed Under | 48c | 3,378$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.38 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 2,393$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 1,752$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.42 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 1,522$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.68 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 1,497$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.6 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Under | 50c | 1,026$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…6947backed Under | 50c | 1,005$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Under | 49c | 855$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.95 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 51c | 843.14$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.14 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 667$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.49 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 664.4$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.86 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 589.65$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.83 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 47c | 526$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.22 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 518.23$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.75 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 53c | 397.24$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.7 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Over | 51c | 392$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked Over | 67c | 360.51$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 348$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 33c | 329.67$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 49c | 306.28$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.04 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 189.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 51c | 166.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 48c | 139.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 131.27$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 118.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 50c | 100.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 97.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 49c | 87.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 55c | 72.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fc…62e2backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Under | 49c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…7b62backed Over | 53c | 56.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Under | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 45.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 47c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 36c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 49c | 40.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed Over | 64c | 34.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 52c | 31.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Over | 49c | 30.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa684…5d09backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec9…e05ebacked Under | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 50c | 27.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 55c | 24.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 51c | 23.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 50c | 23.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…2354backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Over | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…abd3backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers76ers won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 246.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 247.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 263.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 266.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 267.5Over won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)76ers won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Ty Jerome: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.