TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xccd3…be19

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$629.85
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$47.29
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$59.23
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.91
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked Orbit Anonymo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+138.6%+$123.46
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.48
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.4
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$196.52
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$238.49
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+51.5%+$107.67
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$90
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+35.9%+$215.37
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$235
LoL: Team Heretics vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$111
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25%+$44
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33.3%+$66.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$31.48
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$202
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$63.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$55.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Tjen vs Maiabacked Maia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$49.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Austin Peay Governors vs. Lipscomb Bisons: O/U 155.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$223.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.