TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Pasika UA (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, Pasika UA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,285
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,285 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x31a4…dd86backed Pasika UA0c15,243$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.281050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+54%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…a26fbacked Pasika UA3c5,558$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.475756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36e7…46e6backed Pasika UA0c5,010$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4840…41f3backed Pasika UA12c3,542$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.1680%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed Zero Tenacity69c3,502$2,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.985060%30 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6a…8777backed Pasika UA67c3,361$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Pasika UA1c2,131$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4611960.5%72 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb9be…8b35backed Zero Tenacity71c1,829$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.318349.4%41 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Zero Tenacity78c1,671$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.6910456.7%59 W · 45 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Pasika UA7c1,570$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2238049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x069d…0308backed Pasika UA77c1,505$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.15366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Pasika UA40c1,502$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.1247748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33b1…8375backed Pasika UA2c1,300$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Pasika UA27c1,264$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.998728.7%25 W · 62 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd710…a095backed Pasika UA33c1,037$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Pasika UA6c928.7$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.896169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked Zero Tenacity51c922.26$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.2629047.9%139 W · 151 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Pasika UA38c716.99$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.5454753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Pasika UA35c701.14$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.4446535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Zero Tenacity59c655.97$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.8546451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Pasika UA37c607.98$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.2737745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Zero Tenacity65c569.23$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.3951140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd3…be19backed Pasika UA46c555$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.3757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Pasika UA49c510.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25042145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Zero Tenacity48c473.37$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.8861449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4916…d82abacked Pasika UA3c470$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pasika UA43c419.42$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.3173841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf399…7005backed Zero Tenacity65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Pasika UA72c308.86$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.263956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Zero Tenacity68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.121428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-51.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Zero Tenacity38c280.51$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.2561548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Zero Tenacity64c271.35$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.352055%11 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9380…a275backed Zero Tenacity64c235.82$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.25850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Zero Tenacity53c226.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4240014.8%59 W · 341 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb79…6274backed Zero Tenacity36c225$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2517152%89 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Zero Tenacity46c215.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7210659.4%63 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Zero Tenacity29c211.07$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5712654.8%69 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Zero Tenacity47c199.17$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6511346.9%53 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b97…3f54backed Zero Tenacity61c196.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-59%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Pasika UA7c172.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.113452.2%70 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Pasika UA56c157.88$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.68440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde93…bef4backed Zero Tenacity65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f86…2874backed Pasika UA68c142.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Zero Tenacity61c129.56$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8695841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa134…3ba2backed Zero Tenacity75c113.61$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.41729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb378…5cd7backed Pasika UA74c106.59$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+106.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Pasika UA10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10613.3%2 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-61%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Pasika UA17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17879.2%8 W · 79 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Pasika UA30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025547.8%122 W · 133 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Pasika UA73c99.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pasika UA38c98.6$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2886949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Zero Tenacity33c93.84$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8764123.4%150 W · 491 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Zero Tenacity54c91.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.95837.9%22 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1de6…fdb3backed Pasika UA35c84.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Zero Tenacity62c84.53$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.125950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79d1…68b3backed Pasika UA17c84.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.36540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick16cpaid+133.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcc4…cb21backed Pasika UA70c82.34$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…b0a5backed Zero Tenacity64c81.25$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.251346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b2…0ab9backed Zero Tenacity25c80.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.757753.2%41 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…34f7backed Zero Tenacity80c69.78$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.961637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Pasika UA38c65.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.615137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdafd…807fbacked Zero Tenacity48c64.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.81450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6460…84efbacked Pasika UA32c61.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3703…2795backed Zero Tenacity65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5415341.2%63 W · 90 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c0f…84b9backed Zero Tenacity62c56.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bae…61b8backed Pasika UA51c52.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274035%14 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe634…9ccfbacked Zero Tenacity39c51.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+158.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f4e…420cbacked Pasika UA64c50.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked Pasika UA45c48.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.812650%13 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Zero Tenacity75c47.69$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7752243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53fc…3d5dbacked Pasika UA74c45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2cdd…55babacked Pasika UA62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Zero Tenacity35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2612449.2%61 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Pasika UA46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.253839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Pasika UA49c39.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.248037.5%30 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…2b47backed Pasika UA67c38.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-60.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Zero Tenacity62c35.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3521062.4%131 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Zero Tenacity37c32.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.431020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a3f…38e4backed Zero Tenacity59c31.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.942142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Pasika UA39c30.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7410136.6%37 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8208…240abacked Zero Tenacity48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc955…56adbacked Pasika UA67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xded3…b470backed Pasika UA68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Pasika UA71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205062%31 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Pasika UA62c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.422123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Pasika UA55c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22650%13 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3515…ae25backed Zero Tenacity64c22.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa22f…604cbacked Pasika UA71c21.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Zero Tenacity65c20.61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.261145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd25…03b9backed Zero Tenacity66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.84551.1%23 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc85d…6832backed Zero Tenacity61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.812438.7%48 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Zero Tenacity62c18.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0135461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa08a…ad51backed Zero Tenacity74c16.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.413857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.