TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa22f…604c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Tweets at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT4070%28 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Temple Owls vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.9
Rice Owls vs. Temple Owlsbacked Rice Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.08
Towson Tigers vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+70.1%+$21.02
Charleston Cougars vs. Campbell Fighting Camelsbacked Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Morehead State Eaglesbacked Morehead State Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. Missouri State Bearsbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$12.88
NJIT Highlanders vs. Maine Black Bearsbacked Maine Black Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Elon Phoenix vs. William & Mary Tribebacked William & Mary Tribe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
SMU Mustangs vs. Syracuse Orangebacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball State Cardinalsbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Bucknell Bison vs. Boston Terriersbacked Boston Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$8.96
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Samford Bulldogs vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneersbacked Samford Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Charleston Cougarsbacked Campbell Fighting Camels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Georgia Southern Eaglesbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+54.2%+$10.85
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins (W)backed Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Albany Great Danes vs. Maine Black Bearsbacked Albany Great Danes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Drexel Dragons vs. Towson Tigersbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Iona Gaels vs. Saint Peter's Peacocksbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+94.2%+$28.27
Bryant Bulldogs vs. NJIT Highlandersbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Washington State Cougars vs. San Francisco Donsbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$9.25
Wichita State Shockers vs. South Florida Bullsbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Charlotte 49ers vs. East Carolina Piratesbacked Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.72
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.52
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+356.6%+$78.46
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+233.3%+$49
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+203%+$30.45
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$19.7
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+117.4%+$16.11
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2568%17 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+85.8%+$25.73
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$19.7
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.05
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.59
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.43
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 25 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.81
Sabres vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
AHL: Charlotte Checkers vs. Hartford Wolf Packbacked Charlotte Checkers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+67.9%+$13.59
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Flyers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Canucks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Ducks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Stars vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Bruins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Golden Knights vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.48
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.04
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Türkiye win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Wales win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.48
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$17.03
Will Austria win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.31
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+228.9%+$45.79
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+38.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+43.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+42.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$52.36
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Temple vs. Tulsabacked Temple · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Alabama vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Florida State vs. Virginiabacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.41
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+82.4%+$12.36
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.91
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.09
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$117.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Pasika UA (BO3)backed Pasika UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: Pasika UA vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)backed Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+32.5%+$4.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.