South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club León FC win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf945e4b88eea0900d0756ee101861a7f2ada75d775d41f6ad28e069be3bf1b0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 38c | 1,700$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.98 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 34c | 1,201$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.23 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 56c | 776.25$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 717.4$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.16 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 41c | 556.01$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.05 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 325$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 323.49$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 254$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.66 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…db04backed Yes | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 63c | 147$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 24c | 101.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 25c | 75.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 14c | 74.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked No | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 43c | 53.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…604cbacked Yes | 66c | 46.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…e65abacked No | 44c | 27.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…9182backed Yes | 74c | 25.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…b370backed Yes | 64c | 22.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 20.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 63c | 16.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club León FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.