South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club León FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e3db03aa5b71f99e862fa907755e246a8c54c03b39745b4b280ccc190e80e8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 486.78$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.83 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 438.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.1 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…db04backed Yes | 70c | 271.43$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 235.23$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.72 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 76c | 192$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce2…34a8backed Yes | 67c | 167$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Yes | 78c | 127.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 36c | 122.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 105$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 27c | 101.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed No | 23c | 97.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Yes | 27c | 96.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 90.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 52c | 74.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 47c | 74.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 33c | 73.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 77c | 64.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 67c | 53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 42.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…9182backed Yes | 70c | 32.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed No | 37c | 31.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 48c | 25.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2414…22d6backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 20.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club León FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-01-18?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.