MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81a0c3f9c7b9297b35a1626e313d62689fde70ca5ca6feec078ba85bb6a38ea1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $910,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $983,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $910,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Athletics | 48c | 419,818$201,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218,441.3 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 285,567$145,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,355.42 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 120,000$62,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,400 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 58,421$18,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,821.82 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 26,944$14,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,310.83 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Athletics | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 23,986$3,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.38 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Athletics | 58c | 19,761$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,260.59 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 17,857$9,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,464.28 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 48c | 15,239$7,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,924.04 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 10,329$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497.75 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Athletics | 48c | 10,000$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 46c | 8,685$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,685.42 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Athletics | 47c | 8,394$3,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.03 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 7,500$3,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.98 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 7,174$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.91 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 6,540$3,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,444 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Athletics | 49c | 6,497$3,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.71 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 6,120$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 5,793$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.33 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Athletics | 50c | 4,888$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.14 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 3,586$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.59 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 3,516$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.93 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Athletics | 46c | 3,044$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.76 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 3,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 2,739$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.52 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 11c | 2,722$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 55c | 2,563$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.21 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Athletics | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.44 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics | 46c | 2,218$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.22 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Athletics | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.96 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.99 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,956$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.93 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,896$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,772$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.72 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 71c | 1,395$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.68 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 1,329$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…3f0fbacked Athletics | 65c | 1,251$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 1,241$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.37 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Athletics | 69c | 1,121$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.89 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Athletics | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,087$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.12 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Athletics | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Athletics | 59c | 1,049$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.37 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Athletics | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Athletics | 76c | 1,000$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 959.31$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.91 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 61c | 958.95$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.23 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 958.95$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.36 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Athletics | 46c | 785$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.9 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 761.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 749.27$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.88 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 744.28$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.9 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 709.53$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Athletics | 53c | 689.13$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.89 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 677.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 638.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.21 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics | 62c | 637.76$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.6 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Athletics | 49c | 636.22$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.47 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…c246backed Athletics | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 607$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Athletics | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Athletics | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 516.77$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 455.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Athletics | 48c | 440.01$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.81 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 439.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…bdc7backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Athletics | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Athletics | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4613…0ddfbacked Athletics | 49c | 406.61$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.37 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Athletics | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Athletics | 48c | 363$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.76 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 356.64$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.02 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Athletics | 55c | 345.35$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.35 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 55c | 336.24$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.64 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 323.07$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.46 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 312.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…d406backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 291.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked Athletics | 48c | 281.62$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.44 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Athletics | 56c | 268.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.23 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Athletics | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 263.87$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.74 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 251.22$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.92 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Baltimore Orioles | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Athletics | 46c | 230$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 229.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Athletics | 63c | 228.42$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.95 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Athletics (-5.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.