Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball State Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21faf58df71db6dc4752204bdbc6886ba0ccf3cb3cbf07f0f8e64865ef52dbe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kent State Golden Flashesof Kent State Golden Flashes, Ball State Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ball State Cardinals | 22c | 7,098$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.52 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 78c | 2,221$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.14 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Ball State Cardinals | 25c | 1,724$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.5 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed Ball State Cardinals | 2c | 1,122$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ball State Cardinals | 22c | 963.78$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.05 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 77c | 651.62$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.78 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Ball State Cardinals | 23c | 599$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.77 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 78c | 589$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.68 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 79c | 580$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 80c | 577.71$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 77c | 386.38$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ball State Cardinals | 41c | 284.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.84 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 78c | 268.69$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 78c | 228$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ball State Cardinals | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ball State Cardinals | 16c | 196.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330d…f0c4backed Ball State Cardinals | 12c | 186.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ball State Cardinals | 13c | 182.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Ball State Cardinals | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Ball State Cardinals | 16c | 149$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ball State Cardinals | 16c | 140$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Ball State Cardinals | 27c | 138.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf084…4b0ebacked Ball State Cardinals | 10c | 119.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Ball State Cardinals | 32c | 119.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ball State Cardinals | 17c | 107.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Ball State Cardinals | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…3affbacked Ball State Cardinals | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ball State Cardinals | 16c | 93.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 79c | 89.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ball State Cardinals | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Ball State Cardinals | 22c | 65.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ff…2561backed Ball State Cardinals | 28c | 50.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Ball State Cardinals | 22c | 45.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec3…4db1backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 75c | 37.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…604cbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 78c | 31.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf79…850bbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 60c | 22.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cc…ae8dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 75c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball State Cardinalsthis page
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball State Cardinals: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-8.5)Ball State Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.