TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Celtics, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,323,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,417,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,323,167 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked Celtics43c179,477$76,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,40551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Celtics44c139,440$61,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,844.2521057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics43c125,250$54,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,346.1287144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Pistons59c76,908$45,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,752.759640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pistons56c73,359$41,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,947.152,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons56c72,088$40,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,576.572,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Celtics41c60,821$24,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,965.681,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics44c54,534$23,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,994.761,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pistons56c53,307$29,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,455.1843148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Pistons57c34,135$19,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,807.3619560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Celtics44c34,091$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00044352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons56c33,802$18,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,017.289,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Celtics44c30,020$13,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,208.7115841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Pistons55c29,863$16,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,338.219150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Celtics44c27,423$12,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,041.5783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b3…04e1backed Pistons54c25,000$13,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,389.241050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Pistons60c24,980$14,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,992.3919653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Celtics36c24,447$8,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,764.829938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Celtics37c22,724$8,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,415.141,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Celtics0c22,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons56c21,790$12,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,490.194,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab2…0bc4backed Celtics0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Pistons55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,999.9719048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Pistons57c19,952$11,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,658.9948352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons52c19,719$10,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,382.112,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Pistons56c19,343$10,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,577.0735235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pistons59c16,868$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,868.1176746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Celtics45c15,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,749.9919751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons57c14,902$8,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,388.893,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed Pistons57c14,560$8,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,313.124961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7116…9eb1backed Celtics41c13,200$5,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,41220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1131…78e3backed Pistons58c13,199$7,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,543.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcad4…c108backed Celtics42c12,819$5,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,384.066651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Celtics40c12,122$4,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,880.9574748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Pistons57c11,702$6,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,031.755437%20 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons55c11,075$6,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,978.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Pistons56c10,809$6,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,755.9317454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons67c10,695$7,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,520.564,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Pistons58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20012657.1%72 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Celtics42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.9335450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pistons57c9,474$5,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,101.7572450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Pistons56c9,338$5,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,108.5427163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Celtics34c8,806$3,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,007.4689444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Pistons76c8,804$6,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.3723747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Celtics57c8,295$4,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,72819136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Celtics45c8,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.996540%26 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Celtics40c7,990$3,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,195.071,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Celtics24c7,652$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.413250%66 W · 66 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Pistons56c7,587$4,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,338.523052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Celtics16c7,400$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.4739744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pistons63c7,344$4,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,704.515,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Celtics35c7,275$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.072,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Pistons55c7,076$3,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,184.1521440.7%87 W · 127 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9373…4c6bbacked Pistons57c7,052$4,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,032.19650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Pistons55c6,979$3,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,140.7648347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Celtics45c6,979$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,160.1685344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd20…6f35backed Celtics57c6,797$3,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,874.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Celtics44c6,599$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900.485,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Pistons61c6,551$3,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.0115435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Celtics43c6,452$2,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,802.1535251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a79…a442backed Pistons79c6,366$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.227062.9%44 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2953…5344backed Pistons57c6,122$3,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,661.62568%17 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Pistons57c5,991$3,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,576.2952460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x871d…0830backed Pistons59c5,807$3,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.78425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ce8…d50dbacked Celtics41c5,600$2,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,295.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+68%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Celtics41c5,519$2,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.0814751%75 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Pistons48c5,505$2,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,885.5619954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Pistons57c5,342$3,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.2930947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a9…07b5backed Pistons59c5,189$3,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c08…e6f3backed Celtics44c5,184$2,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.0930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x816b…d69dbacked Celtics48c5,149$2,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,476.624752.6%130 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Pistons56c5,120$2,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.7628439.8%113 W · 171 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Pistons56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Celtics45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Pistons50c5,000$2,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,511.9942640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Pistons53c5,000$2,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.61,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6713…73dabacked Pistons57c4,912$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.281457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Pistons59c4,896$2,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.2740350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28cb…4823backed Celtics44c4,812$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef86…b9a9backed Pistons59c4,806$2,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pistons56c4,714$2,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.652,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Pistons70c4,632$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.2850241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons57c4,520$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.086,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Pistons60c4,466$2,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.815541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Celtics45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x290f…35fdbacked Celtics43c4,400$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be3…06cdbacked Pistons57c4,400$2,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f12…dd7abacked Celtics43c4,384$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ebd…ba95backed Pistons57c4,384$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea5c…6164backed Celtics43c4,379$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb178…21fbbacked Pistons57c4,379$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b31…11a8backed Celtics46c4,370$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.321442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94ad…e385backed Celtics43c4,348$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb5…a395backed Pistons57c4,348$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Pistons49c4,333$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.8441954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x155d…2525backed Pistons56c4,275$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,861.153961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Celtics7c4,253$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.0123630.1%71 W · 165 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dc7…a83cbacked Pistons57c4,219$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33e6…e300backed Pistons62c4,209$2,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.891526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Pistons52c4,176$2,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.4222458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.