TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$287,379
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$287,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,379 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under52c87,110$44,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,179.1787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Over48c60,386$28,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,985.464452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb0…d8b6backed Over51c55,597$28,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,288.614158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Under51c21,999$11,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,779.493847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee17…b46ebacked Under51c19,761$10,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,682.734257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c17,500$8,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,924.962,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7119…45fabacked Over49c15,586$7,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,637.1940%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x871d…0830backed Over49c14,694$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,200425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c10,194$5,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0972,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over52c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,159.9846145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Under51c7,300$3,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,576.9817250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under51c6,314$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,093.8558449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over49c5,989$2,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,934.561,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x935b…6221backed Over49c5,714$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over50c5,526$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,754.412,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9373…4c6bbacked Over49c4,802$2,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,352.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Over49c4,467$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,18912151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under48c4,142$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.4212855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c4,038$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0193,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c2,930$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.72,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1978…002dbacked Over49c2,706$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over49c2,571$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26042648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a46…1b9dbacked Under48c2,563$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c2,400$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under50c2,330$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.492,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c2,213$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.276,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under49c2,091$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.6319958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.781,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6e…4948backed Over49c1,908$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5f6…3cc6backed Over52c1,769$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.8840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c1,745$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.0184342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c1,657$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.629,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…acb5backed Over52c1,645$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c78…9cb6backed Over52c1,630$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ce…c893backed Under48c1,523$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42e0…c156backed Over52c1,523$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.9640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd098…8c03backed Under49c1,505$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.382070%14 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+30.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c1,490$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.38,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7d5…ce08backed Under48c1,484$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over48c1,407$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.1632051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under49c1,358$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.0827051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c1,293$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.51,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Under52c1,236$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.418961.8%55 W · 34 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed Under49c1,050$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.52352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Over51c1,025$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.755152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Under49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4118852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50066645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c987.41$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.155,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x670d…294ebacked Under48c851$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9219…d304backed Over50c653.83$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011755.6%65 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over49c587.76$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28814346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb9…6df0backed Over51c586.47$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.081346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over10c414.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.711,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under49c394.98$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.441,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e4d…4c9dbacked Over52c357.87$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.093056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Over49c320$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.89742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over48c308.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5220741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under47c301.38$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.453,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1444,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018031.7%57 W · 123 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10228348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015650.6%79 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Over50c193.46$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7816749.1%82 W · 85 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cb4…bd40backed Over51c187.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.862035%7 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-33.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Under52c184.04$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.343852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under48c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6733442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x628e…1d80backed Over50c150.62$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.313444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8dc…2ba2backed Under48c146$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over49c114$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.861,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd482…b402backed Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416634.8%23 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2af0…8473backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0a…7898backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+41.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over56c88.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7747349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over49c85.78$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.281,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over49c79.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.266143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbecc…6e99backed Over49c74.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.47812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick52cpaid-75.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x92bf…0f9bbacked Under52c63.83$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.661850%9 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9277…2aedbacked Over50c62.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.321936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Under52c62.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.948357.8%48 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4e…1c13backed Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+31.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Under49c59.32$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.415244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d6…a56abacked Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306035%21 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3e…281bbacked Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8155…eb2cbacked Under52c56.33$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.041942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f0f…956fbacked Over50c54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over49c53.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3452246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecec…933ebacked Over50c52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under48c51.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5517949.2%88 W · 91 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Under51c50.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9819748.2%95 W · 102 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Over49c50.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258240.2%33 W · 49 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535844.1%158 W · 200 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.