NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eb457047a409f6c84c864f636015dd560ac6b49eb7a393d42ed8e38d701ab10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $616,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $626,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $616,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 53c | 517,129$276,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240,668.26 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Over | 46c | 256,000$117,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,759.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 47c | 150,000$70,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,500 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Over | 49c | 46,941$22,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,900 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 37,082$17,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,472.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 24,937$11,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,838.32 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Over | 47c | 11,111$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.17 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 52c | 10,526$5,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,031.12 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 51c | 8,081$4,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.68 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 53c | 7,304$3,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.43 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 4,545$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.6 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 4,041$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.25 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Under | 52c | 3,061$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.2 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 2,050$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.26 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 1,639$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.82 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Over | 49c | 1,530$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.66 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 1,337$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.94 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 13c | 1,311$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.16 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 49c | 1,143$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.07 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 1,092$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.37 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 12c | 1,076$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 47c | 1,036$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.98 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under | 54c | 927.22$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.22 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 913$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.67 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 904.2$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Under | 70c | 873.47$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.29 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 48c | 832$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.36 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 39c | 782.44$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.41 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Over | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 46c | 698.69$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.4 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb9…6df0backed Over | 49c | 489.7$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 403.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…ecb7backed Under | 54c | 401.85$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.85 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 50c | 349.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 27c | 329.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 9c | 329.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed Under | 55c | 328.77$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.42 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 70c | 320$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Under | 53c | 283.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.23 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e1…ec41backed Over | 47c | 280.85$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 51c | 275$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Over | 47c | 227.66$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Over | 48c | 219.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.31 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 54c | 213.73$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.67 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Over | 47c | 208.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 46c | 198.38$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…aca1backed Under | 51c | 194.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…7657backed Over | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 44c | 178.23$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…bd40backed Over | 49c | 157.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…94febacked Under | 55c | 152.72$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 10c | 148.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 143.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 66c | 122$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 52c | 121.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 57c | 118.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…00bdbacked Over | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 109$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Under | 51c | 105.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef2d…5addbacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 49c | 94.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Under | 54c | 93.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 85.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed Over | 47c | 81.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 19c | 80.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 14c | 79.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Under | 54c | 77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 60c | 74.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4c…9f84backed Over | 46c | 73.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -72%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Over | 46c | 72.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 49c | 71.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…ca7dbacked Under | 70c | 71.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Over | 47c | 69.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 48c | 68.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…da83backed Under | 78c | 63.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 56.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 46c | 56.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 323 | 52.6%170 W · 153 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Over | 47c | 51.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 251 | 44.2%111 W · 140 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Over | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…6759backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -16.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…3bb0backed Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Under | 54c | 49.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 31c | 48.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 47c | 47.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Over | 48c | 46.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Under | 65c | 43.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5this page
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Celtics vs. PistonsPistons won
- Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Under won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.