NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb9f1f4eaf2bfcb85b30e3e64cbd8735533f554f662f37c1418f1ab84f4c3b96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Pistons, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $917,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $922,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $917,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics | 53c | 665,878$355,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309,968.89 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 47c | 634,374$295,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295,154.13 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Celtics | 54c | 100,841$54,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,695.3 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons | 47c | 36,366$17,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,034.08 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Pistons | 48c | 26,464$12,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,749.52 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Celtics | 52c | 25,000$12,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,124.98 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Pistons | 46c | 23,568$10,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,841.17 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 47c | 17,480$8,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,162.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Pistons | 47c | 13,298$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics | 52c | 12,992$6,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,236.15 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Celtics | 53c | 12,801$6,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,016.35 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Pistons | 48c | 10,046$4,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,821.91 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Celtics | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Pistons | 52c | 9,696$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pistons | 47c | 8,742$4,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,108.76 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6e…4948backed Pistons | 48c | 7,354$3,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,530 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons | 46c | 6,896$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174.84 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Pistons | 46c | 6,740$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.4 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Pistons | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 47c | 6,052$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.85 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Pistons | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Pistons | 47c | 5,900$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,773.01 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Pistons | 48c | 5,331$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.82 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Celtics | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Pistons | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 45c | 3,840$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.64 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Pistons | 46c | 3,476$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons | 46c | 3,132$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.72 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…44b3backed Pistons | 51c | 3,072$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Celtics | 52c | 3,063$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.44 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Celtics | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 52c | 2,918$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Pistons | 48c | 2,910$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics | 52c | 2,679$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.8 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pistons | 46c | 2,598$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.08 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Celtics | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Celtics | 52c | 2,352$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.79 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871d…0830backed Pistons | 48c | 2,292$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Pistons | 48c | 2,111$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.4 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Celtics | 51c | 2,001$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.6 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons | 46c | 1,826$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.96 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Pistons | 46c | 1,534$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.4 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 42c | 1,524$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…a2e8backed Celtics | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Celtics | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5a…982cbacked Celtics | 49c | 950$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Celtics | 53c | 903.93$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.93 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Celtics | 54c | 743.04$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.17 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Celtics | 52c | 622.31$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.94 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Pistons | 35c | 550.45$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.83 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…09f9backed Celtics | 55c | 540.39$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Celtics | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Pistons | 47c | 471.91$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.91 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Pistons | 46c | 461.89$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.6 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 49c | 439.47$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.13 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Pistons | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Celtics | 60c | 427.02$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.81 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Celtics | 49c | 400$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.33 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Celtics | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc495…d35ebacked Celtics | 53c | 396$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe268…0573backed Pistons | 48c | 396$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…9b84backed Celtics | 39c | 377.03$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Pistons | 47c | 364.23$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.19 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pistons | 46c | 352.38$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.1 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Celtics | 41c | 345.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.33 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfb…4f50backed Pistons | 51c | 340$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Pistons | 46c | 333.03$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.2 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bd…b4abbacked Pistons | 51c | 330$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pistons | 50c | 328.33$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.98 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 47c | 313.27$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.74 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Pistons | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Celtics | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41d…e8c4backed Pistons | 51c | 280$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 55c | 279.84$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.69 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pistons | 25c | 269.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Pistons | 48c | 261.52$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.53 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Pistons | 50c | 245$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Pistons | 46c | 233.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 46c | 231$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Pistons | 48c | 213.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pistons | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Pistons | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…5284backed Celtics | 55c | 195$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Pistons | 53c | 187.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Celtics | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Pistons | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Pistons | 61c | 171.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Pistons | 47c | 171.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.44 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Celtics | 53c | 161.17$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…1a1abacked Pistons | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Pistons | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Pistons | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742d…25febacked Celtics | 75c | 133.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…1a3ebacked Celtics | 55c | 131.79$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…7245backed Celtics | 78c | 127.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…213abacked Pistons | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24a2…0a6abacked Pistons | 47c | 123.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Celtics | 66c | 122.3$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)this page
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Celtics vs. PistonsPistons won
- Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Under won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.