TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Bucknell Bison vs. Boston Terriers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Boston Terriersof Bucknell Bison, Boston Terriers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,928
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,928 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcdb8…abbebacked Bucknell Bison27c1,617$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.221,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucknell Bison10c1,314$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.535,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Boston Terriers74c1,205$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.933,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Boston Terriers71c850.34$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.192,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Bucknell Bison28c510$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.855840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Boston Terriers73c499.41$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9181453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Bucknell Bison27c422.96$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.237142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bucknell Bison29c372$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.841,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucknell Bison27c364.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Boston Terriers74c322.17$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1637947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucknell Bison4c321.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.161,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Bucknell Bison9c310.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.693,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bucknell Bison25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7593941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Boston Terriers74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.71573.3%11 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Bucknell Bison26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bucknell Bison28c196.31$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.242,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Bucknell Bison26c191$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.664,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Bucknell Bison29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010736.4%39 W · 68 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Bucknell Bison10c166.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6140849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Boston Terriers79c161.6$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.942,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucknell Bison22c136.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.374,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bucknell Bison25c121.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.251,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Bucknell Bison25c117.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6499045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Boston Terriers75c115.85$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Boston Terriers71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2929444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Bucknell Bison29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Boston Terriers75c79.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.793,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Boston Terriers72c77.93$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.822,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Boston Terriers65c64.77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.521,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeff2…b6ecbacked Boston Terriers72c55.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.693647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Bucknell Bison28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153928.2%11 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Bucknell Bison22c53.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7720248%97 W · 105 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Bucknell Bison26c50.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.044930.6%15 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Boston Terriers72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1464658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Boston Terriers79c49.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.321,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Bucknell Bison34c44.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2222730.4%69 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Boston Terriers71c41.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9829954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa22f…604cbacked Boston Terriers77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.964070%28 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeac2…fd78backed Boston Terriers71c28.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.125453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf55c…a6abbacked Boston Terriers71c22.32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4714171.6%101 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Boston Terriers73c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Boston Terriers72c16.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.674866.7%32 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.