Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bucknell Bison vs. Boston Terriers: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa23b7f7489a9aba23d9e18e579cf57fc8bdad5160fd810d890d5ae8c57fdb6ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 54c | 45,000$24,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,144.61 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 47c | 17,000$7,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,010 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…44d9backed Under | 0c | 14,640$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 47c | 9,400$4,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,983.04 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 44c | 9,009$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,009.48 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 4,791$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.3 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 2,452$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 46c | 1,382$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.14 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 57c | 1,325$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 37c | 1,080$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.45 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.5 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 871.44$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.11 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 47c | 800$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.03 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 46c | 707$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.78 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 54c | 626.66$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.4 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 43c | 540$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.2 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…a4fcbacked Under | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +124%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…2ed2backed Under | 20c | 350.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 47c | 255$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.15 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 26c | 246.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 47c | 237.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.13 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 45c | 110.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 44c | 107.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 102.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 101.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 38c | 89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 43c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 46c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c66…0a4fbacked Over | 47c | 36.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 34.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5225…797dbacked Over | 46c | 26.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 62c | 25.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 55c | 19.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucknell Bison vs. Boston Terriers: O/U 140.5this page
- Bucknell Bison vs. Boston TerriersBoston Terriers won
- Bucknell Bison vs. Boston Terriers: O/U 141.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Terriers (-6.5)Boston Terriers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.