Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x386a1dba3e5d15168ab158ae88c31e34d6fa42d9a3a7c114bab667206f84f4df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $513,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $531,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 58c | 70,000$40,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,399.99 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 59c | 39,713$23,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,283.86 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 41c | 34,599$14,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,185.78 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 37c | 33,828$12,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,560.65 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 57c | 27,421$15,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,841.8 | 286 | 43.7%125 W · 161 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…1449backed No | 45c | 24,338$10,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,951.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 43c | 18,480$7,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,946.38 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 59c | 17,605$10,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,217.9 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 58c | 17,140$9,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,198.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 16,851$6,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,935.32 | 600 | 41.8%251 W · 349 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 12,974$5,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,327.78 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 57c | 12,078$6,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,167.1 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 42c | 12,075$5,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,071.48 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…f032backed Yes | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.97 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 43c | 9,859$4,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.33 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed No | 40c | 8,882$3,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,583.44 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 57c | 7,942$4,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,426.46 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 56c | 7,500$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.95 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 41c | 6,886$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.26 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 44c | 6,509$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.75 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 43c | 6,359$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.06 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 59c | 5,442$3,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 42c | 4,666$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.72 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 58c | 4,660$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.17 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 65c | 4,645$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.41 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 42c | 3,265$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.52 | 232 | 47.4%110 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 20c | 3,039$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.12 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Yes | 59c | 2,608$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 59c | 2,543$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.81 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Yes | 57c | 2,500$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Yes | 58c | 2,001$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 44c | 2,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 57c | 1,922$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.72 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 42c | 1,851$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.21 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 55c | 1,769$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.24 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 41c | 1,657$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.37 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 62c | 1,619$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 60c | 1,562$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.87 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 59c | 1,525$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.42 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 8c | 1,383$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.53 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Yes | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked No | 41c | 1,218$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Yes | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 59c | 1,080$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.8 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 42c | 1,013$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.35 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 41c | 921.26$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed No | 38c | 887.18$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.13 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 58c | 873$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.66 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes | 59c | 800$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 15c | 786.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 41c | 760.26$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 389 | 53.7%209 W · 180 L | +21.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 59c | 710.04$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.09 | 526 | 46.8%246 W · 280 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…ada3backed Yes | 57c | 673$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.39 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 41c | 621.42$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.56 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed No | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 57c | 600$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Yes | 58c | 585$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 43c | 570$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.1 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 56c | 555$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…680dbacked Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 6c | 505.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd642…c499backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadc3…cdc2backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +372.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked No | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 58c | 459.53$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.02 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…54edbacked Yes | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 60c | 400$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…c21cbacked No | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 59c | 399.16$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.66 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 57c | 398.95$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.93 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 56c | 391$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.04 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 38c | 379$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.02 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 62c | 373.5$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.93 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Yes | 58c | 363.21$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.92 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…2f37backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 58c | 344.4$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.66 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 78c | 337.54$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +12.2wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…1f46backed Yes | 59c | 321$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.