Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32e6d93e3e1fa838d72f24bafba1ff200b0b1bd6d9d3bccb8ee46e43b7200916

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 31, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $404,429
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $222,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $404,429 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	1c	17,500$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.5	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	17,297$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.13	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	7c	14,536$961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960.85	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	3c	12,589$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.29	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	3c	12,442$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.17	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf9b…be5fbacked Yes	2c	11,150$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fee…0eb3backed Yes	1c	11,050$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	20c	8,001$1,605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,605.14	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaedf…c648backed Yes	2c	7,336$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	17c	6,773$1,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122.85	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	1c	6,167$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.89	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	1c	5,000$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7698…5136backed Yes	0c	4,922$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	1c	4,066$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.35	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	14c	3,717$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.79	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	5c	3,507$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.95	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	19c	3,474$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.05	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	4c	3,057$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.02	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	2c	2,980$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.35	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	7c	2,399$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.97	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a44…021cbacked Yes	2c	2,065$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f8…330abacked Yes	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	56	16.1%9 W · 47 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	2c	1,962$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.86	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0049…3a9abacked Yes	1c	1,912$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbea3…e34fbacked Yes	2c	1,911$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.4	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed Yes	5c	1,818$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.42	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1cde…b42abacked Yes	2c	1,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	85	8.2%7 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed Yes	30c	1,500$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.96	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	20c	1,407$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.8	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…5577backed Yes	3c	1,361$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd4…0f95backed Yes	8c	1,336$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.28	10	20%2 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	10c	1,208$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.63	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80fc…42c3backed Yes	22c	1,200$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.91	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	8c	1,171$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.04	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	7c	1,069$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed Yes	20c	1,001$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.15	103	25.2%26 W · 77 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50df…1f07backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	2c	1,000$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	2c	999.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	177	9%16 W · 161 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9e5…dbc9backed Yes	31c	999.23$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.33	76	38.2%29 W · 47 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7b4…66babacked Yes	16c	998.77$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.69	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf2c…8c84backed Yes	3c	949.33$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.48	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	11c	900.57$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafbb…7525backed Yes	21c	841.73$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	8c	833.53$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.52	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	2c	790$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.97	781	8.7%68 W · 713 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	2c	741.35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.21	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	11c	722.42$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.36	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes	22c	706.42$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	+62.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	4c	700$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.7	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes	3c	700$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	82	11%9 W · 73 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	5c	692.23$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.26	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed Yes	30c	674.59$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	6c	661.9$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes	4c	639.26$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.13	155	20%31 W · 124 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0865…3dffbacked Yes	3c	631.15$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-73.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd14a…edc7backed Yes	3c	627.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa636…0011backed Yes	9c	625.99$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.04	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34e5…d9d0backed Yes	4c	625$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	58	8.6%5 W · 53 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+67.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	14c	600$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.77	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed No	70c	599.99$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd39b…8dc6backed Yes	3c	592.19$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.57	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44af…129fbacked Yes	13c	587$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.76	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	15c	573.88$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.12	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fb0…d543backed Yes	14c	555$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.15	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x931d…dd7abacked Yes	27c	551.3$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.76	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fd…9028backed Yes	2c	550.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.52	121	12.4%15 W · 106 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa30…9971backed Yes	3c	543.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd166…cdc1backed Yes	25c	520$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c2…1398backed Yes	20c	516$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.58	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	4c	510$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.25	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe988…f4fabacked Yes	2c	506.76$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	+50.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	3c	502.15$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	147	15%22 W · 125 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+80.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	76c	480$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.19	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9bd…0568backed Yes	8c	478.47$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.8	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x36ce…0e38backed Yes	3c	455$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf366…9ad8backed Yes	11c	453$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.74	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-3.6wins	-0.14per pick	22cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	8c	441.22$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.98	731	15.2%111 W · 620 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Yes	3c	435.17$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	56	25%14 W · 42 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98dc…9949backed Yes	12c	418.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8593…c931backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	130	20%26 W · 104 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c7…fa37backed Yes	11c	375.77$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.33	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x618f…f2f3backed Yes	5c	366.7$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	67	13.4%9 W · 58 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40a…0615backed Yes	28c	354.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	18%9 W · 41 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Yes	3c	342.66$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.71	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a2…2ab4backed Yes	22c	336.08$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3625…8b46backed Yes	31c	321.96$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	20c	313.21$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.91	526	19.8%104 W · 422 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x47e4…7569backed Yes	15c	312.43$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.31	60	20%12 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	15c	308.17$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ae…c6e0backed Yes	7c	300$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.1	52	13.5%7 W · 45 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7dd…6a2cbacked Yes	12c	300$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.7	131	26.7%35 W · 96 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x729e…e23ebacked Yes	10c	294.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	238	31.1%74 W · 164 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9833…3f04backed Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68f3…776cbacked Yes	6c	278.25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.42	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcbb…9355backed Yes	24c	273.98$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05dd…4d45backed Yes	25c	273.31$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.47	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d9…4c05backed Yes	5c	264.19$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a1…fe8bbacked Yes	7c	225.74$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.78	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes	14c	207.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.92	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	25cpaid	+108.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event