Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd60f4f46a5f7ab3610dc631e50776dcf8c0a1e114a47132fc326f1b8ea4a62a0

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 30, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $290,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $171,490

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,510 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9991…9480backed Yes	0c	18,877$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.68	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	0c	16,524$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.89	781	8.7%68 W · 713 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…8692backed Yes	0c	10,098$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.2	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	8c	8,989$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.37	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	14c	7,031$1,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,016.66	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	6,822$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.74	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ab…a766backed Yes	0c	5,392$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.3	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9241…f41cbacked No	80c	5,001$4,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.14	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	3c	3,600$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	3c	3,291$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.66	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	14c	3,218$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.44	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4081…cfb0backed Yes	1c	3,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	134	7.5%10 W · 124 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed Yes	11c	2,995$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.17	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5844…aa7ebacked Yes	7c	2,330$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.61	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	9cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a44…021cbacked Yes	24c	2,260$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540.41	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6779…0400backed Yes	28c	2,176$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	94	7.4%7 W · 87 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74a2…2ab4backed Yes	15c	1,645$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	23c	1,579$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.43	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	8c	1,474$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.56	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0905…99adbacked Yes	2c	1,087$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	104	34.6%36 W · 68 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e45…ae93backed Yes	19c	1,031$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+206%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	22c	1,022$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.74	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5836…b241backed Yes	17c	1,010$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.66	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb4b…3034backed Yes	20c	1,000$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	16cpaid	+19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	1c	999.98$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa114…fdadbacked Yes	14c	960.17$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.79	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	5c	956.31$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.05	731	15.2%111 W · 620 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe675…fa84backed Yes	11c	922.28$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	20cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	14c	719.74$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.48	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b7e…79e5backed Yes	25c	611.61$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd4…0f95backed Yes	22c	603.49$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.34	10	20%2 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	11c	599.49$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.55	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes	11c	543.43$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.33	82	11%9 W · 73 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x618f…f2f3backed Yes	3c	539.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	67	13.4%9 W · 58 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	78c	517.48$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.93	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e09…f1c3backed No	77c	500$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab7e…2a96backed Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf366…9ad8backed Yes	10c	481.84$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-3.6wins	-0.14per pick	22cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb64f…698abacked No	75c	429.96$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.06	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80c0…f57ebacked Yes	7c	406.8$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes	25c	405.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	16c	404.23$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.79	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x107c…b412backed No	76c	394$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.77	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68f3…776cbacked Yes	4c	392$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.26	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa027…9a07backed Yes	13c	390$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.12	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9d…5954backed Yes	29c	347.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a0…8ca8backed Yes	29c	346.91$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	43cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7d0…881ebacked Yes	15c	340.23$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc4…7708backed No	71c	339.99$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.92	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c4c…4dafbacked Yes	12c	335$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.2	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes	11c	314.77$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.36	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5957…e94bbacked Yes	7c	307$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.86	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c6…d67ebacked Yes	23c	300$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7dd…6a2cbacked Yes	9c	300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	131	26.7%35 W · 96 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadee…20aabacked Yes	7c	264.46$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	10c	256.36$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	18c	252.77$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9faa…bbedbacked No	78c	250$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.2	175	16.6%29 W · 146 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb6a…f116backed Yes	8c	239.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	12cpaid	+117.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee04…1b0bbacked Yes	22c	231.48$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa30…9971backed Yes	25c	213.42$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed Yes	25c	204.76$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.28	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x370e…ad0fbacked Yes	25c	200.8$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cc5…743dbacked Yes	23c	200$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x542f…916abacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…09e2backed Yes	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb68d…fb0abacked Yes	15c	194.33$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.53	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe121…8686backed Yes	14c	181.2$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe409…4c39backed Yes	28c	180.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09b…5ad6backed No	71c	180$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.02	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa526…34aabacked Yes	23c	174.82$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed Yes	9c	170.4$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Yes	23c	170.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x717e…ca8bbacked Yes	24c	165.49$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	65	26.2%17 W · 48 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x900f…4ac5backed Yes	12c	163$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.05	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec33…69a5backed No	76c	153$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.87	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x012f…e310backed Yes	9c	150$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b4…66babacked Yes	9c	149.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb4…cb1ebacked Yes	9c	149.68$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x67df…772fbacked Yes	19c	143.41$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes	13c	143$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.17	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b14…7b25backed No	78c	135$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.11	4	75%3 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	78cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b3…c1b1backed Yes	19c	132.74$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa999…a364backed Yes	23c	130.25$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	26cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa22f…604cbacked Yes	25c	121.46$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	25cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5824…dcf0backed Yes	11c	110$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.32	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x729e…e23ebacked Yes	14c	109.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	238	31.1%74 W · 164 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70e3…5e8cbacked Yes	12c	100.87$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.91	66	10.6%7 W · 59 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f83…b4c4backed No	77c	100$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee38…a5a9backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c7…3ff0backed Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.55	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd68d…f152backed Yes	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4326…c3a8backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	174	34.5%60 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x845e…9401backed Yes	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d01…083fbacked Yes	29c	100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81cf…3087backed Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4219…6e2cbacked Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	63	25.4%16 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ae…c6e0backed Yes	24c	99.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.94	52	13.5%7 W · 45 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4948…2a26backed Yes	20c	91.86$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.32	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-66%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe515…63d2backed Yes	16c	90.67$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.39	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event