TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee04…1b0b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 61 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT3167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.95
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.52
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$65.74
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$11
Norway leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.97
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$32.75
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$25.42
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$22.05
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+201.5%+$244.78
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+487.9%+$139.82
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$17.1
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+114%+$19.11
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+149%+$17.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$90.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.