Fifa International · resolved market
Norway leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7a8b810e0f4a6dd1bc096be0804abdbf00b1b0bc1996a6214bb45bf9a3e98e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $356,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $431,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 47,335$19,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,993.97 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 33,629$20,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,511.83 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 4c | 15,460$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.62 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 14,274$5,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,093.78 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 61c | 12,249$7,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,777.14 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Yes | 60c | 10,080$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030.86 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 39c | 8,000$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.95 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 44c | 7,055$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.83 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 39c | 4,951$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.53 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 39c | 4,126$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.03 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410f…57febacked No | 1c | 4,027$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…7ba8backed Yes | 68c | 3,652$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.74 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked No | 1c | 3,568$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 20c | 3,549$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.18 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 61c | 3,476$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.96 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 41c | 2,897$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.48 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 39c | 2,512$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.12 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 38c | 2,388$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.56 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Yes | 42c | 2,339$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.43 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Yes | 61c | 2,295$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.08 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac2b…f419backed No | 47c | 2,219$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.12 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yes | 59c | 2,080$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.8 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 61c | 2,030$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.87 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 2,017$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.95 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce9…c3ccbacked Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,775$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.21 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…1071backed Yes | 31c | 1,694$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 45c | 1,692$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.43 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…c20bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 62c | 1,521$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.17 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 24c | 1,303$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.77 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…cc57backed Yes | 62c | 1,218$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.74 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 18c | 1,201$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.19 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed No | 11c | 1,171$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…8018backed Yes | 61c | 1,148$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.54 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 62c | 1,119$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.9 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 20c | 1,008$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.34 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 39c | 999.98$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 39c | 999.97$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Yes | 61c | 979.87$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.87 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 39c | 922.42$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.09 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Yes | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 6c | 899.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 88 | 71.6%63 W · 25 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 62c | 893.55$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.55 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 17c | 877$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.91 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Yes | 60c | 824.26$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.7 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Yes | 61c | 820$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…9903backed Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 124 | 30.6%38 W · 86 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 61c | 819.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 62c | 764.4$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.25 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 38c | 719.88$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.55 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…3b6cbacked Yes | 45c | 708.24$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 46c | 699.61$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.65 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28fa…7190backed Yes | 47c | 633.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.53 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Yes | 24c | 621.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.78 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 58c | 612.07$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.07 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…a182backed No | 40c | 608.97$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.23 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 3c | 602.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f1…da32backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…775bbacked Yes | 55c | 537.98$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.9 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…929fbacked No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf024…fbd3backed No | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked No | 5c | 499.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 44%66 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0769…3690backed Yes | 50c | 499.71$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.86 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Yes | 54c | 499.69$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.86 | 127 | 24.4%31 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 54c | 499.61$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.82 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Yes | 49c | 486.41$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.92 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 80c | 482.42$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 71c | 472.61$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.53 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 7c | 451.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 57c | 444$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.81 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Yes | 61c | 430.85$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.03 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 406$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…ac88backed Yes | 58c | 403.88$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.63 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf077…748abacked Yes | 61c | 381.97$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 39c | 374.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked No | 30c | 374.38$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 45c | 345.37$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…d325backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 39c | 320$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Yes | 61c | 314.75$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c2…e754backed Yes | 46c | 280.72$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.59 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes | 40c | 279.92$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.95 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Yes | 61c | 275.44$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.42 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…55d1backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 45c | 266.51$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.61 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 23c | 259.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.77 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 8c | 253.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway leading at halftime?this page
- Iraq leading at halftime?No won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.