Fifa International · resolved market
Iraq vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd52ec7c127a9501465fa827d5296fa6bf43cb0f7bd6f6afa4a9bcb40a16e145a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2140…fc78backed Yes | 0c | 22,566$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 11,572$7,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,547.53 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 7,692$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.98 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 52c | 5,049$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.33 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 33c | 4,412$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.95 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 4,127$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.28 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 63c | 3,312$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.37 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410f…57febacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 10c | 2,267$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.59 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,217$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.94 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 32c | 1,193$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 1,068$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.5 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 73c | 1,068$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.3 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…29bfbacked Yes | 10c | 1,051$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 32c | 1,040$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.32 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked No | 22c | 1,000$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f1…59afbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce9…c3ccbacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 51c | 982$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.65 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 32c | 772.05$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf2…326abacked Yes | 78c | 769.23$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…21a8backed No | 22c | 734.39$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 43c | 702.81$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.32 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 32c | 687.5$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6863…300bbacked Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 33c | 636.36$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 60c | 596.67$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.62 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x840c…7450backed Yes | 2c | 550$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 6c | 517.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 30c | 506.42$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.49 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 21c | 503.4$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.69 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 62c | 456.21$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.87 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 26c | 455.05$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 49c | 442.86$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.05 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 77c | 418.46$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.32 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962d…dc4cbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…cbd2backed Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fc…c072backed Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Yes | 79c | 392.41$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 23c | 390.89$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.84 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…88f4backed Yes | 11c | 375$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Yes | 33c | 371.21$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed No | 69c | 361.32$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.01 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 54c | 341.71$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.12 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…8285backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 32c | 327.68$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…1481backed Yes | 5c | 320$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Yes | 33c | 318.18$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e9…232cbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 296.06$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 53c | 294.22$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.48 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 271.87$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 271.03$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 8c | 260$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1a…4475backed No | 49c | 229.9$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.35 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 70c | 226.28$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked No | 42c | 225.05$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.45 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…da31backed Yes | 32c | 209.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 68c | 200.02$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 69c | 185.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 67c | 185.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 31c | 182.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 12c | 181.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.06 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…453bbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Yes | 43c | 167.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9f…8e7dbacked Yes | 34c | 149.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Yes | 52c | 146.15$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…1847backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 132.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…69c1backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…8454backed No | 70c | 123$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked No | 21c | 120.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.36 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +22.2wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Yes | 32c | 120.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…4647backed Yes | 38c | 119.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…e529backed Yes | 77c | 116.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…7695backed No | 69c | 111$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…503bbacked Yes | 33c | 103.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 32c | 103$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 68c | 101$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485c…219ebacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc037…c387backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 68c | 90.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 68c | 90.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed No | 17c | 89.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.09 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 58c | 86.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iraq vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?this page
- Iraq leading at halftime?No won
- Norway leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.