Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f04b866f714b3b43134e094da90ba156aef6e47629d431f5bff0f1661cb512f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,146,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $721,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,146,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 425 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes | 1c | 95,766$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.54 | 820 | 6.6%54 W · 766 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…9480backed Yes | 2c | 77,866$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.44 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b66…02edbacked Yes | 22c | 65,828$14,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,422.79 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 2c | 45,528$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.89 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 5c | 35,362$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.97 | 481 | 6.7%32 W · 449 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed Yes | 0c | 25,777$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 8c | 16,414$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.6 | 796 | 6.5%52 W · 744 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 0c | 16,410$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 149 | 14.1%21 W · 128 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 0c | 16,374$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes | 0c | 14,745$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 127 | 12.6%16 W · 111 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 7c | 14,122$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.16 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes | 9c | 12,901$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.98 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…a942backed No | 76c | 11,145$8,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.57 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 10,552$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.56 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…14bebacked Yes | 4c | 10,276$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 8c | 9,513$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.65 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes | 3c | 9,324$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes | 14c | 8,294$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.21 | 457 | 15.1%69 W · 388 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Yes | 17c | 8,152$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.17 | 532 | 5.3%28 W · 504 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…22e4backed Yes | 14c | 7,386$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes | 21c | 7,172$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 11.8%25 W · 187 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…4692backed Yes | 23c | 6,946$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde54…444dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,446$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 12c | 6,204$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.47 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…9a73backed Yes | 3c | 5,110$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.29 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9126…1896backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 5c | 4,574$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.7 | 123 | 8.1%10 W · 113 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,522$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 3c | 4,105$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.53 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…7d6abacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 524 | 9.9%52 W · 472 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 19c | 3,848$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 11c | 3,732$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.17 | 416 | 5.3%22 W · 394 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,658$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 212 | 20.3%43 W · 169 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +610.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…9249backed Yes | 6c | 3,602$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 12c | 3,162$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.12 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474c…37d3backed Yes | 13c | 3,109$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.55 | 410 | 17.8%73 W · 337 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 78c | 3,098$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.01 | 185 | 31.4%58 W · 127 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe644…1dffbacked Yes | 8c | 3,057$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4081…cfb0backed Yes | 0c | 3,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 134 | 7.5%10 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08bf…8b4dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked No | 78c | 2,988$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.32 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked Yes | 15c | 2,945$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…a102backed Yes | 1c | 2,927$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Yes | 15c | 2,865$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.54 | 202 | 26.7%54 W · 148 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 1c | 2,840$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…0b6bbacked No | 76c | 2,832$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.51 | 248 | 73%181 W · 67 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa766…6beebacked Yes | 4c | 2,546$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdede…4747backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…4d92backed No | 74c | 2,432$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…2c4bbacked Yes | 29c | 2,396$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes | 9c | 2,367$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 164 | 17.1%28 W · 136 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…24d5backed Yes | 1c | 2,355$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 2c | 2,355$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,274$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…1750backed Yes | 13c | 2,120$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.35 | 209 | 7.7%16 W · 193 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 2,004$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.62 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5436…e29ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes | 10c | 1,969$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.36 | 326 | 7.1%23 W · 303 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 3c | 1,900$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…9e5abacked Yes | 6c | 1,876$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380f…8229backed Yes | 22c | 1,815$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 177 | 22.6%40 W · 137 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 22c | 1,782$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.27 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes | 3c | 1,774$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 181 | 16%29 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdc…9b5cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,560$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…7d32backed Yes | 13c | 1,549$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 5c | 1,514$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 68 | 2.9%2 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…8890backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 18c | 1,500$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…5c51backed Yes | 9c | 1,500$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…8669backed Yes | 1c | 1,482$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5801…a4afbacked Yes | 22c | 1,383$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed Yes | 3c | 1,350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,337$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.19 | 782 | 8.7%68 W · 714 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…8d3cbacked No | 77c | 1,270$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.11 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 1,255$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…de68backed Yes | 2c | 1,197$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 12.5%22 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes | 19c | 1,185$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.55 | 486 | 9.7%47 W · 439 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…b628backed Yes | 8c | 1,156$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ff…24a5backed Yes | 18c | 1,115$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a84…3788backed Yes | 21c | 1,101$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.81 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…0328backed No | 78c | 1,091$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.95 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 2c | 1,081$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…47c2backed Yes | 28c | 1,079$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb23…c1ffbacked Yes | 4c | 1,071$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3de…12a5backed Yes | 7c | 1,051$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6298…b860backed Yes | 19c | 1,016$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111d…85f7backed Yes | 21c | 1,006$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.26 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…eaaabacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 296 | 8.1%24 W · 272 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438d…8ef2backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…377fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 158 | 12%19 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…a7fbbacked Yes | 22c | 984.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.55 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 2c | 965.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 86 | 16.3%14 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e55…e157backed Yes | 17c | 940$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.68 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9e…fa03backed Yes | 19c | 933.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.16 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d7…59c1backed Yes | 23c | 931.26$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.76 | 89 | 22.5%20 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…cb1ebacked Yes | 26c | 926.58$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.59 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.