TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ed1…a7fb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
183
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Cricket, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST15911.9%19 W · 140 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 159 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+233.3%+$140
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$41.61
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$36.96
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+296.1%+$326.58
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.13
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+376.2%+$78.99
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+337.9%+$463.26
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$56.11
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$86.34
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+160.8%+$61.65
Showing 25 of 159 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$292.97
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$68.22
International T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$29
ILT20: Abu Dhabi Knight Riders vs Dubai Capitals (Game 1)backed Dubai Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+63.8%+$40.01
Will New Zealand win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+25.4%+$21.47
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$204
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$64
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+55.8%+$339.92
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+57.4%+$125.47
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$529.99
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+43.1%+$240.69
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs Ireland (Game 2)backed Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+31.5%+$77.42
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+1,718.2%+$378
Australia T20 Series: Australia vs India (Nov 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+100%+$19.99
Australia ODI Series: Australia vs India (Oct 24)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+50.5%+$30.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.