Cricket · resolved market
Will New Zealand win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce069e179ef6e37a94307a8a0678d20823554a6eb7f1f03c96b507e6863ec5c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 11c | 1,536$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.17 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…a37cbacked No | 9c | 514.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 9c | 501.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +456.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes | 48c | 442.64$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.17 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…28c3backed Yes | 79c | 400$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 14c | 278.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 76c | 274.41$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x137c…bbf3backed Yes | 69c | 249.83$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 14c | 223.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 9c | 215.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 18c | 207.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 74c | 190.32$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 15c | 190.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 24c | 149.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked No | 24c | 141.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…d0aabacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Yes | 77c | 120.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 19c | 106.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…a7fbbacked Yes | 80c | 106.11$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Yes | 80c | 93.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed No | 18c | 57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Yes | 79c | 30.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6416…18d7backed Yes | 73c | 26.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 80c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9724…6229backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 76c | 15.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New Zealand win?this page
- Will West Indies win?No won
- Will the match end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.