Cricket · resolved market
Will the match end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4bcfcbf0c21ed7cb330b4803b5d7888243047726ee869f407dacd242e76f15f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6fc3…e92ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +273%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x126c…b2b0backed Yes | 4c | 3,890$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.01 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…69cabacked Yes | 4c | 2,291$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…2c4ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,100$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.04 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf2…5803backed Yes | 3c | 1,672$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 43c | 1,247$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.66 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 2c | 999.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 692.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…1e14backed Yes | 7c | 562.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +400.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 4c | 504.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +456.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 466.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…fca5backed Yes | 4c | 461.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Yes | 6c | 421.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…2fe4backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbe…fb1cbacked Yes | 8c | 323.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Yes | 5c | 225$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf929…9c10backed Yes | 11c | 224.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…eafebacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbd…f321backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 10c | 149.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…2c98backed Yes | 8c | 131$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…4ac4backed Yes | 49c | 46.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match end in a draw?this page
- Will New Zealand win?Yes won
- Will West Indies win?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.