Cricket · resolved market
Will West Indies win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bd656031d71b0986e6f2260190deb9e11ebd38e238c60f05d81fb93afecdd49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,082$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Yes | 13c | 3,831$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.21 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…3ee3backed Yes | 5c | 1,726$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126c…b2b0backed Yes | 6c | 1,680$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…2c4ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,552$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…69cabacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…e1dabacked Yes | 3c | 1,092$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 6c | 815.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +456.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…b575backed Yes | 13c | 766.57$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8a…91f0backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed No | 80c | 422.19$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…7e61backed Yes | 9c | 337.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +344.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 19c | 307.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 18c | 283.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 14c | 260$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7c…25eebacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 29cpaid | +167.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 13c | 154.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 11c | 152.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed Yes | 12c | 137.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec88…e80bbacked Yes | 11c | 131.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef73…7db3backed Yes | 14c | 110.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 11c | 102$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 26cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44a5…2d56backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed No | 80c | 42.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…71e3backed No | 80c | 36.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Indies win?this page
- Will New Zealand win?Yes won
- Will the match end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.