Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73092dceb82c6c28170edf10a63d44e3da44651c980efebd4aa7a13c55d15c65

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $511,190
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $380,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,190 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes	0c	32,723$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	265	8.7%23 W · 242 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	1c	17,739$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.74	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b42…229ebacked Yes	1c	16,568$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.52	103	22.3%23 W · 80 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	7c	13,908$1,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,007.12	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	11,275$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.8	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	10,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	4c	9,050$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.24	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes	5c	9,011$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.67	70	11.4%8 W · 62 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca9c…7311backed Yes	2c	8,619$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.05	71	16.9%12 W · 59 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa02e…8331backed Yes	3c	7,384$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.53	106	10.4%11 W · 95 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	3c	7,000$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.35	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1355…6591backed Yes	6c	6,992$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.71	235	9.4%22 W · 213 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	3c	6,118$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.44	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3ac…e753backed Yes	5c	5,744$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.16	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	6c	5,100$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.88	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	5,016$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.92	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	1c	5,000$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	1c	4,998$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.99	253	11.5%29 W · 224 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Yes	1c	4,562$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	6c	4,202$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.89	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x304b…57b2backed Yes	1c	4,175$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.47	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	+105%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	4c	3,404$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.11	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes	2c	3,367$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.74	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…55cabacked Yes	2c	3,154$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	6c	3,041$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.65	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0d7…2305backed Yes	4c	3,000$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.46	184	24.5%45 W · 139 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	8c	2,760$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.05	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	10c	2,749$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.02	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5e…2a5cbacked Yes	1c	2,700$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b2f…7241backed Yes	2c	2,681$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+102.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	22c	2,620$586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$586.44	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ee…6d4cbacked Yes	17c	2,612$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	1c	2,600$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.07	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc201…eeb2backed Yes	2c	2,571$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.54	133	13.5%18 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c3…d002backed Yes	4c	2,433$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd11f…0fe8backed Yes	5c	2,236$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.54	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	8cpaid	+112.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	2,232$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.72	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x863c…655cbacked Yes	3c	2,014$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.79	108	16.7%18 W · 90 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	1c	2,000$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8556…fad9backed Yes	5c	1,973$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe5…636cbacked Yes	3c	1,912$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	1c	1,900$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6151…9848backed Yes	3c	1,900$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.8	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	18cpaid	+77.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2090…2246backed Yes	14c	1,796$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.67	30	10%3 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5357…a8f8backed Yes	1c	1,620$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.13	144	13.2%19 W · 125 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	15c	1,611$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.84	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	3c	1,510$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.76	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes	3c	1,447$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed No	69c	1,441$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.42	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes	9c	1,430$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.16	73	20.5%15 W · 58 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b6…6af5backed Yes	3c	1,400$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.3	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa6…4094backed Yes	10c	1,306$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	307	14%43 W · 264 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc35a…b9f2backed Yes	7c	1,282$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.9	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa54e…7326backed Yes	1c	1,258$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbe…65c8backed Yes	5c	1,253$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	1,245$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.86	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b8b…9eb6backed Yes	4c	1,168$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.43	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60e8…4001backed Yes	2c	1,155$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked No	71c	1,150$813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.53	87	19.5%17 W · 70 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe28f…be21backed Yes	4c	1,012$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	3c	1,000$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf312…b94dbacked Yes	9c	1,000$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	6c	999.96$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	18c	997.33$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.96	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8038…72cfbacked Yes	5c	987.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	4c	903$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes	12c	900$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	146	25.3%37 W · 109 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8032…7c6cbacked Yes	7c	875.19$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	243	26.7%65 W · 178 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc018…b251backed Yes	3c	829.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.6	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	11cpaid	+344.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8114…085abacked Yes	7c	800$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.1	127	14.2%18 W · 109 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	5c	770.5$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.93	434	5.1%22 W · 412 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-33%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes	5c	770.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	2c	750$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.67	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac64…0dd2backed Yes	33c	749.6$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.37	150	17.3%26 W · 124 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	3c	746.01$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.77	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d0f…bea9backed Yes	19c	739.99$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.1	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c68…878dbacked Yes	26c	700$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dc5…d6b7backed Yes	8c	684.99$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.35	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+2.9wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf885…37e8backed Yes	4c	625$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	77	16.9%13 W · 64 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No	79c	614.11$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.8	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e1…d8dabacked Yes	5c	605.81$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	71c	599.97$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.99	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Yes	22c	594.3$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.75	233	21%49 W · 184 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes	3c	585.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.16	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	13cpaid	+17%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…1ca3backed Yes	3c	585.19$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5664…73a5backed Yes	4c	584.27$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	18cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0067…446fbacked Yes	7c	580.26$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	53	9.4%5 W · 48 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeda…3edcbacked No	77c	578$445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.94	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+72.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes	4c	571.93$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.38	68	2.9%2 W · 66 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-81.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	11c	570$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.62	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a6…d67fbacked Yes	4c	532.81$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.71	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	16cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5fa…45d2backed Yes	3c	528.2$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.3	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes	13c	510$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.3	360	18.6%67 W · 293 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82fe…7610backed Yes	27c	509.38$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.27	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf2…15aebacked Yes	4c	505$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36da…cab2backed Yes	4c	502.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes	7c	500$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.53	114	21.9%25 W · 89 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3602…b407backed Yes	2c	500$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbae1…cdf9backed No	78c	500$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event