Cricket · resolved market
Australia ODI Series: Australia vs India (Oct 24)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9b04942537f73d8aaa03d7b256755878361baf0959b273d793e440f95b2fa56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiaof Australia, India
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d84…141dbacked Australia | 2c | 5,189$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed Australia | 22c | 3,562$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.38 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Australia | 0c | 2,908$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Australia | 13c | 1,215$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.68 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…3704backed India | 80c | 726.64$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.64 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…8996backed Australia | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…ae28backed India | 46c | 403$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Australia | 59c | 316.95$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed India | 47c | 273.36$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.88 | 115 | 24.3%28 W · 87 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked Australia | 25c | 253.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed India | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Australia | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Australia | 54c | 193.53$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.16 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed India | 80c | 156.04$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…8b82backed India | 38c | 132$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed India | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 199 | 56.3%112 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…e671backed India | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…daf8backed Australia | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed Australia | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…5e3dbacked India | 46c | 96.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…e3e9backed India | 68c | 89.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…653fbacked Australia | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked India | 79c | 85.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…4325backed Australia | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902a…c212backed India | 47c | 63.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…3995backed Australia | 59c | 58.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +42%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3629…ec71backed India | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…a7fbbacked India | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…07babacked Australia | 31c | 44.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…f82abacked India | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…cb0abacked India | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed India | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 107 | 11.2%12 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f7…eab2backed India | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…6d42backed India | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb391…7c50backed India | 46c | 25.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…3733backed Australia | 60c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…19c2backed India | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.